THE RULES-BASED FUTURES TRADER

Three defined setups. One statistical framework. Zero guesswork about whether your system actually works. The Rules-Based Futures Trader is built for a specific kind of reader: someone who wants to trade MES and MNQ Micro futures the way a data analyst would approach any measurable process - with precisely defined entry conditions, honest expectancy math, and a structured way to know, from your own accumulated numbers, whether a setup is actually working or whether a losing stretch is just normal variance. Instead of a single "the strategy," this book gives you three distinct, precisely defined setups - the Opening Drive, the Failed Breakout Reversal, and the Midday Range Fade - each with exact entry conditions, stop and target logic, and a scorecard for routing between them. You'll build a hundred-chart manual backtest before risking a dollar, a trade log designed to produce real per-setup statistics, and a documented process for deciding when accumulated evidence genuinely justifies changing a rule - and when it's just noise. This is an honest, quantitative approach. It makes no promises about income, win rate, or returns, and it treats losing trades and drawdowns as expected, measurable parts of any real trading system rather than something to be talked around. What's inside: - Three fully defined setups with exact entry, stop, and target rules, explained in plain language - A complete expectancy and R-multiple framework for measuring what's actually working - A hundred-chart manual backtesting process to build pattern fluency before risking capital - Position sizing driven by measured expectancy, not emotion or hunches - A trade-log structure built to produce genuine, setup-specific statistics - A five-step, evidence-based process for when - and when not - to change a rule - A hundred-trade framework for reaching real statistical confidence in your own results - Worked hypothetical examples, fifteen practice scenarios, and quick-reference setup scorecards - A statistics primer and further-reading appendix for readers who want to go deeper