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Yoe C: The Art of Making Decisions Under
Uncertainty

The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

PART ONE Introduction to Decision Making Under Uncertainty. 1 Why Decisions Under Uncertainty Matter. 2 Decisions: How They Are Made and Why They Fail. 3 Uncertainty: What It Is and Why It Matters. 4 Risk: The Link Between Uncertainty and Decisions. 5 Uncertain Outcomes. PART TWO Psychological and Cultural Aspects of Uncertainty. 6 The Psychology of Decisions: Fast vs. Slow Thinking. 7 Heuristics and Biases: Why They Fail Under Uncertainty. 8 Innumeracy: Why It Limits Understanding of Uncertainty. 9 Building a Culture That Embraces Uncertainty. 10 Uncertain Aspects of Decision Making. 11 The Illusion of Precision. 12 Ignoring Uncertainty. PART THREE Analytical Tools and Techniques. 13 Managing Information and Uncertainty. 14 How Risk Preferences Drive Decisions. 15 Risk Analysis. 16 Think More Probabilistically. 17 Characterizing Uncertainty: The Key to Risk-Informed Decision Making. 18 Tools for Quantitative Characterizations of Uncertainty. 19 Expert Elicitation: Managing Irreducible Uncertainty. 20 Sensitivity Analysis. 21 The Monte Carlo Process and Scenario Planning. 22 Leveraging Big Data, Analytics, and AI to Combat Uncertainty. PART FOUR Strategies and Tactics for Effective Decision Making. 23 Strategies and Tactics for Addressing Uncertainty. 24 Socialize Asking for Evidence. 25 Change the Decision-Making Meeting. 26 Knowing When to Decide. 27 Power-Down Decision Making. 28 Turning Failure into Insight. PART FIVE Special Topics. 29 Uncertainty in Real-Time Decision Making. 30 False Information. Index

This third edition of Designing Tall Buildings is an enhanced and accessible reference that guides the reader through the fundamental principles of designing high-rise buildings.This new edition includes four new chapters, including initial concepts for tall building design, techniques for optimization, considerations for carbon and the use of alternative materials such as timber. The third edition also includes 300 additional illustrations, and current code requirements and equations. Each chapter focuses on a theme central to tall-building design, giving a comprehensive overview of the related architectural and structural engineering concepts. Author Mark Sarkisian, PE, SE, NAE, LEED, provides clear definitions of technical terms and important equations, gradually developing the reader's knowledge. Projects drawn from SOM's vast portfolio of built high-rises, many of which Sarkisian engineered, demonstrate these concepts. The book considers the influence of particular site geology, wind conditions, and seismicity. With this contextual knowledge, the reader can develop structural systems best suited for a tower that are not only safe, but constructible and economical. Sarkisian specifically addresses the influence of nature in design, urging the integration of structure and architecture for building of superior performance, sustainability, and aesthetic excellence.This third edition is a must-have reference for students and designers.

Structure as Architecture

Designing Tall Buildings

Exploring Health Benefits of Phenolic Compounds in Food By-Products and Functional Foods investigates the diverse sources of bioactive compounds found in various foods and their physiological effects on the human body. This comprehensive volume emphasizes the chemical structures that maximize nutritional benefits, offering insights into how different phenolic compounds can improve health and manage diseases. From fruits and vegetables to marine sources and microbial fermentation, this book highlights new developments in phenolic compounds and functional food research. The book also delves into the functional attributes of ingredients like mushrooms and pomegranates, exploring the potential of flavonoids and antibacterial agents in certain fruits and vegetables to promote healing and overall health. Chapter authors discuss the role of bioactive compounds in areas such as weight management, gut health, sports nutrition, cardiovascular health, and more.

Exploring Health Benefits of Phenolic Compounds in Food By-Products and Functional Foods

Comprehensive insights into value engineering principles tailored for electrical systems in construction with real-world examples included throughout Value Engineering for Electrical Systems in Construction is a comprehensive guide that provides practical tools and methodologies to apply value engineering (VE) principles across the full lifecycle of electrical systems-from early-stage concept design to execution and retrofit. The book features detailed case studies, examples, templates, and checklists that serve both value engineering initiatives and best design practices. Written by a highly qualified author with extensive experience leading diverse international construction projects, Value Engineering for Electrical Systems in Construction covers: <ul> <li>Strategies and techniques for value engineering projects in electrical works, focusing on efficiency and innovation</li> <li>Structured value engineering framework tailored specifically to electrical systems</li> <li>Applications for both new-build and retrofit contexts</li> <li>Guidance across MV/LV power distribution, lighting, ELV, ICT, emergency systems, earthing, external infrastructure, BIM integration, and cross-disciplinary coordination</li> <li>Professional guidance and best practices to implement VE concepts effectively</li> <li>Comprehensive collection of custom-developed VE checklists, decision matrices, and evaluation tools</li> <li>Common challenges in electrical engineering and construction, with actionable solutions</li> <li>Application of VE principles with focus on regulatory compliance, lifecycle costs, and performance optimization</li> </ul> Value Engineering for Electrical Systems in Construction is an essential reference for professionals involved in designing, implementing, and managing electrical systems in construction projects, including electrical engineers, MEP engineers, project managers, architects, construction managers, cost engineers, and estimators/quantity surveyors.

Value Engineering for Electrical Systems in Construction

Bloomsbury Visual Arts Handbooks

An overview of the current landscape of service design, covering both scholarly and practical discussions.

Plural Perspectives and a Critical Contemporary Agenda

The Bloomsbury Handbook of Service Design

Historical Dictionaries of Asia, Oceania, and the Middle East

Historical Dictionary of Azerbaijan

First Published in 2014. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor &amp; Francis, an informa company.

Innovative Landfill Restoration Techniques

New land from old landfills

The Complete Step-By-Step Guide to Managing Product Development Using Agile Framework

Scrum

Securing Electric Mobility is an essential read for those seeking comprehensive knowledge about the cyber-physical intricacies of EVs. The book delves into the fundamental elements of EVs, their interconnectedness, and the vulnerabilities that arise from these characteristics. It carefully examines the digital threat landscape, increasing awareness of potential cyber risks to electric vehicles. From there, it explores data management, regulatory frameworks, existing solutions, and emerging cybersecurity protocols and methodologies. This thorough overview is further enriched by real-world case studies which demonstrate the effectiveness of the approaches adopted to safeguard vehicle control systems, owners' personal data, and the broader cyber-physical network and related equipment. The book proves to be a cardinal resource for academia and industry alike, as it encourages transformative interdisciplinary investigations into the security complexities guiding EVs' resilience evolution. Highlighting the integration of blockchain, artificial intelligence, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, and real-time monitoring systems, Securing Electric Mobility offers state-of-the-art insights valuable for academia and industry.

Securing Electric Mobility

Public Budgeting and Financial Management provides an accessible, applied introduction and overview of public budgeting for students who may not have previous experience with economics or statistics. This new textbook contains several outstanding features:<ul> <li>A focus on all levels of government - federal, state, and local</li> <li>An approach that assumes no previous knowledge of economics, statistics, or mathematics</li> <li>Applied exercises in each chapter using current, real-world scenarios</li> <li>A conversational, engaging, jargon-free writing style.</li> </ul>Authors Nancy Hudspeth and Andrew Crosby examine important case studies, including the lingering financial effects of COVID-19 on communities across the United States and the ways in which Detroit's bankruptcy more than a decade ago continues to impact local, regional, and state finances. The book is accompanied by online instructor and student resources, including sample municipal budgets for students and quizzes with an answer key for instructors. More advanced readers will benefit from the authors' thorough introduction to financial functions. This comprehensive and innovative new textbook will be required reading for all undergraduate and graduate courses in public budgeting and financial management, and it offers a unique one-stop-shop for traditional one-semester MPA budgeting courses.Support material for this book can be found at www.routledge.com/9781032670577

Getting on Track

Public Budgeting and Financial Management

Public administration and policy analysis education have long emphasized tidiness, stages, and rationality, but practitioners increasingly work in a world where objectivity is buffeted by, repressed by, and sometimes defeated by value conflict. Over five beautifully-written and accessible editions, Public Policy Praxis has demonstrated that politics and policy are "messy" and power explains much more about the policy process than does rationality. Using a case-based approach, authors Randy S. Clemons and Mark K. McBeth blend theory and practice to uniquely equip students to better grapple with ambiguity and complexity.Public Policy Praxis introduces students to the "how" of policy analysis alongside its limitations, practical political problems, and the ethical problems associated with different techniques and methodologies. By offering six different analytical models of policy analysis-rational, quantitative, political, pragmatic, postpositivist, and democratic-the reader explores multiple perspectives to tackle complex policy issues. Unlike many US-centric public policy books on the market, Public Policy Praxis is designed to work in international policy settings. New features include expanded coverage of narrative analysis, earlier introduction of mixed methods, updated cases on pressing issues like opioid abuse, school safety, and renewable energy, and enhanced discussions of political polarization and evidence-based policymaking. A fully-updated online Teaching Appendix is included for adopters, offering original cases, answers to problems, alternative approaches to case use, teaching exercises, student assignments, pedagogical ideas, and supplemental material directly tied to concepts covered in the text. With a conversational writing style, Public Policy Praxis, 5th Edition is an ideal textbook for undergraduate and graduate courses in public policy analysis, community planning, leadership, social welfare policy, educational policy, family policy, and special seminars.

A Case Approach for Understanding Policy and Analysis

Public Policy Praxis

Start enjoying mahjong games with family and friends, at local tournaments, and by hosting your own parties Mahjong For Dummies will teach you how to play traditional Chinese mahjong, American mahjong, and many other variations. This simple book breaks down the rules, explains the different mahjong styles, and offers easy-to-understand explanations and diagrams. Get playing right away, without getting bogged down by technicalities. After all, the essence of mahjong is the shared experience! When you're ready, you can find advanced strategies and more complex rules, clearly explained. Confidently begin playing and organizing your own games, thanks to this clear Dummies guide. <ul> <li>Learn the rules of mahjong in an accessible and engaging style, with a focus on enjoying the game</li> <li>Improve your skill and understanding with charts, diagrams, scorecards, and cheat sheets</li> <li>Grasp the game's mechanics so you can make the right decisions, manage risk, and improve your chance of winning</li> <li>Read about the cultural context and rich history of Mahjong</li> </ul> Mahjong For Dummies offers something for everyone and is great for complete beginners and experienced players alike.

Mahjong For Dummies

Advances in Food and Nutrition Research

Advances in Food and Nutrition Research: Volume 118

The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

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