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Peter D. Johnston

Negotiating with Trump

Lessons on Power, Influence, and Dealing with Extreme Bargainers

The explosive story of the biggest mistakes in US history - from White House insider turned host of hit podcast The Rest Is Politics: US, Anthony Scaramucci'Essential reading' ALASTAIR CAMPBELL &amp; RORY STEWART'This is the Mooch at his most thoughtful and wise' EMILY MAITLIS'Anthony Scaramucci lasted 11 short days in The White House. He makes lightweights look credible' THE WHITE HOUSEWe're living in an age of deep political anger and frustration. Where did it come from, and how do we get out?From Main Street to Wall Street, from the boardroom to the Situation Room, Anthony Scaramucci uncovers the true origins of America's current crisis. He pinpoints the catastrophic decisions that dismantled the system supporting the American Dream - deepening inequality, corroding trust and ultimately empowering Trump's ascent and assault on democracy.Rising from the working class to the heights of finance and power, Scaramucci knows first-hand how money and ideals are intertwined. Now widely admired for his storytelling and blistering political analysis, he brings fresh perspective to how both parties betrayed those they once represented, cutting through partisanship and offering a roadmap for rebuilding opportunity, security and hope.All the Wrong Moves is not about right and left. It's about right and wrong.'Irresistibly engaging, provocative and insightful' DOMINIC SANDBROOK'Funny, fascinating and unsparing - Anthony's book is deliciously like Anthony. When is he EVER not totally compelling?' MARINA HYDE'Told with great clarity and a sharp wit' STANLEY TUCCI'Has the rare talent of offering important political insights while also being blisteringly funny' ROBERT PESTON

How Three Catastrophic Decisions and Years of Sh*tshow Politics Led to Trump – and How We Find a Way Out

All the Wrong Moves

'An excellent look at what Palantir does, as well as a fascinating insight into the mind of its eccentric chief executive' TelegraphPalantir Technologies is the most interesting company in the world -&nbsp;and the most controversial.&nbsp;Palantir builds data integration software: its technology ingests vast quantities of information and quickly identifies patterns, trends and connections that might elude the human eye. Founded in 2003 to help the U.S. government in the war on terrorism - an early investor was the CIA - Palantir is now a $400 billion global colossus whose software is used by major intelligence services (including the Mossad), the U.S. military, the National Health Service in England, and corporate giants like Airbus and BP. From AI to counterterrorism to climate change to immigration to financial fraud to healthcare to the future of warfare, the company is at the nexus of the most critical issues of the twenty-first century.&nbsp;Its billionaire CEO, Alex Karp, is a distinctive figure on the global business scene. A biracial Jew who is also severely dyslexic, Karp has built Palantir into a tech giant despite having no background in either business or computer science. Instead, he's a trained philosopher who has become known for his strongly held views on a range of issues and for his willingness to grapple with the moral and ethical implications of Palantir's work. Those questions have taken on added urgency during the Trump era, which has also brought attention to the political activism of Karp's close friend and Palantir co-founder Peter Thiel.&nbsp;In The Philosopher in the Valley, journalist Michael Steinberger is the first to tell the story of Alex Karp and Palantir from the beginning. Steinberger offers new biographical details and a rich psychological portrait of the man leading one of the world's most secretive companies. Full of revelations, this is an urgent and insightful book about technological power, the surveillance state and the future we all face.

Alex Karp, Palantir and the Rise of the Surveillance State

The Philosopher in the Valley

How the social organization of Europe and China shaped their divergent economic and political trajectories over the past millennium In the eleventh century, when Europe was still backward and poor, China was a rich and sophisticated civilization. Yet Europe became the birthplace of democracy and the Industrial Revolution, driving the Great Enrichment, while China stagnated until the end of the twentieth century and was always ruled by autocracies. Two Paths to Prosperity traces the emergence of two very different social organizations in premodern China and Europe--the clan and the corporation--showing how they were key factors in the economic and political divergence of these two great civilizations. In this landmark book, three leading economists offer a bold new account of why Europe and China evolved along such different trajectories. In the early Middle Ages, public goods like risk sharing, religious worship, education, and conflict resolution were provided by nonstate organizations in both societies. China increasingly relied on kin-based cooperation within clans, while weaker kinship ties in Europe gave rise to corporations such as guilds, universities, and self-governing towns. Despite performing similar functions, clans and corporations were built on very different principles--with lasting consequences until today. Providing a novel answer to a fundamental question in economic and political history, Two Paths to Prosperity shows how extended kinship in Chinese society facilitated the consolidation of autocracy and hindered innovation and economic development, and how corporations in Europe influenced emerging state institutions and set the stage for the Industrial Revolution.

Culture and Institutions in Europe and China, 1000–2000

Two Paths to Prosperity

MMA and the Rise of the New Authoritarian Right

The Ultimate Strongmen

In this revolutionary book, pioneering Harvard Kennedy School professor and behavioral scientist Julia Minson reveals the counterintuitive secret to a life of less drama and more impact.We are in a disagreement crisis. The average person would rather go to the dentist than have a twenty-minute conversation with someone that they strongly disagree with. Yet disagreement is both inevitable and essential for everything from navigating decisions at home to running innovative and agile companies to governing democratic societies.In How to Disagree Better, Minson brings to bear her decades of research into understanding the psychology of disagreement and its relevance to negotiations, conflict resolution, and decision-making, revealing the hidden skill that all the best mediators and negotiators share: displaying receptiveness to opposing views.The science shows that receptive individuals don't just fight less, they also get more done-they are better decision-makers, better peacemakers, and yes, better influencers than the rest of us. Through original research and case studies, How to Disagree Better will show you why traditional persuasion strategies don't work as well as you think they do, how you can bridge division and reach better outcomes simply by utilising receptiveness strategies, and that disagreeing better is a skill all of us can learn to apply at home, at work, and with our neighbors.

'The book we all need' ARTHUR C. BROOKS

How To Disagree Better

The law codes in the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region are a well-crafted blend of civil and Islamic law in which civil law principles do not violate Islamic provisions. Yet, common law principles derived either from English common law or Islamic customary usages remain unidentified and thus ignored. Here, this complex scenario is rectified through a comparative analysis of the primary data (e.g. cases, statutes and arbitral award decisions), adding common law and uncodified Islamic custom to MENA law codes. The purpose of this comparative analysis is to allow common legal principles found in civil, common and Islamic law to be distilled in order to create a new, harmonised international commercial arbitration law code (HICALC) or uniform Arab arbitration law (UAAL) for adoption in the MENA region, where these principles already greatly influence the legal systems and can be readily assimilated into a harmonised or uniform code. The work demonstrates that this new code would lead to improved arbitral award enforcement in the MENA.

A Model Harmonised International Arbitration Law Code for the Middle East and North Africa

Public Policy

Global Public Policy Imperatives

By the New York Times’s Global Economics Correspondent, an extraordinary journey to understand the worldwide supply chain—exposing both the fascinating pathways of manufacturing and transportation that bring products to your doorstep, and the ruthless business logic that has left local communities at the mercy of a complex and fragile network for their basic necessities."A tale that will change how you look at the world."&nbsp;—Mark LeibovichNamed a Best Book of the Year by Foreign Policy and The Aspen Institute * Longlisted for the Porchlight Business Book AwardHow does the wealthiest country on earth run out of protective gear in the middle of a public health catastrophe? How do its parents find themselves unable to locate crucially needed infant formula? How do its largest companies spend billions of dollars making cars that no one can drive for a lack of chips?The last few years have radically highlighted the intricacy and fragility of the global supply chain. Enormous ships were stuck at sea, warehouses overflowed, and delivery trucks stalled. The result was a scarcity of everything from breakfast cereal to medical devices, from frivolous goods to lifesaving necessities. And while the scale of the pandemic shock was unprecedented, it underscored the troubling reality that this system built on Just in Time principles was fundamentally at risk of descending into chaos all along. And it still is. Sabotaged by financial interests, a loss of transparency in markets, and worsening working conditions for the people tasked with keeping the gears turning, our global supply chain has become perpetually on the brink of collapse.In How the World Ran Out of Everything, award-winning journalist Peter S. Goodman reveals the fascinating innerworkings of our supply chain and the factors that have led to its constant, dangerous vulnerability. His reporting takes readers deep into the elaborate system, showcasing the triumphs and struggles of the human players who operate it—from factories in Asia and an almond grower in Northern California, to a group of striking railroad workers in Texas, to a truck driver who Goodman accompanies across hundreds of miles of the Great Plains. Through their stories, Goodman weaves a powerful argument for reforming a supply chain to become truly reliable and resilient, demanding a radical redrawing of the bargain between labor and shareholder interests, and deeper attention paid to how we get the things we need.From one of the most respected voices in economic journalism working today, How the World Ran Out of Everything is a fiercely smart, deeply informative look at how our supply chain operates, and why its reform is crucial—not only to avoid dysfunction in our day to day lives, but to protect the fate of our global fortunes.&nbsp;This riveting work of economic journalism breaks down the complexities of modern globalization and reveals: <ul><li>The Just in Time Fallacy: Discover how a sensible manufacturing philosophy was twisted to prioritize shareholder interests over resilience, setting the stage for global shortages and widespread inflation.</li><li>Human Cost of Efficiency: Journey from factories in Asia to the highways of the Great Plains and meet the human players—from truck drivers to railroad workers—exploited to keep the gears of commerce turning.</li><li>Monopoly Power and Price Hikes: Investigate how decades of deregulation allowed a few monopolistic companies to dominate key industries, engineering scarcity to boost profits during a worldwide catastrophe.</li><li>The Future of the Supply Chain: Explore the urgent arguments for reforming the system through reshoring and nearshoring to build a more reliable and resilient network for the things we need.</li></ul>

Inside the Global Supply Chain

How the World Ran Out of Everything

'Michael Auerbach has one of the most original minds I've ever encountered . . . This is a dazzling and entertaining book . . . But it is also an urgent warning' PATRICK RADDEN KEEFE, author of Empire of Pain A brilliant exploration of the phenomenon of prediction markets that asks: what happens when democracy becomes another commodity? Prediction markets are sweeping the world, fundamentally changing the nature of gambling - and the very ways in which we attempt to divine the future. Posed as binary 'Yes/No' questions about future events, prediction markets allow any difference of opinion - whether on pop culture or politics, wars or assassinations - to be financialised. A regulatory minefield with moral implications that divide nations, governments and bettors, they have proved as effective at accurately predicting the timing of missile strikes as they have at calling the outcomes of elections.But are these markets really a new phenomenon? And what does it mean when those tasked with safeguarding democracy hold financial stakes in its volatility?From Renaissance Rome, where merchants wagered on papal conclaves, through nineteenth-century London's wartime coffee house gossip, to the Pentagon's ill-fated terrorism futures exchange and blockchain-based betting on Polymarket today, The Big Bet tells the gripping five-hundred-year story of a permissive regime that no one designed and no one voted for.Drawing on deep expertise, Michael Auerbach examines how these markets are changing our world, and what they mean for the future where democracy becomes just another commodity to be priced and traded. Because prediction markets are not an anomaly - they are the logical endpoint of a society that has applied market capitalism to every aspect of life. And in a world where everything is a wager and nothing is off limits, knowing where the chips will fall matters more than ever.

Prediction Markets and the Future of Democracy

The Big Bet

"Lost Worlds convinces us of the value of slowing down to recognize the tremendous diversity of the human past. But he presses hard against the conclusion that there was any direction or pattern behind its complexity." —The Wall Street Journal“A spellbinding tour de force!” —Walter Scheidel, author of What Is Ancient History?“This is non-fiction storytelling at its finest.” —Eric H. Cline, author of 1177 B.C.The creator of the hit podcast Tides of History offers a new look at humanity’s deep past, showing us how our world was built not by inevitability, but by trial and error on a global scale.There’s a familiar story about us humans: we went from hunting and gathering to farming, wandering bands to villages and cities, clans and chieftains to states and kings. But Lost Worlds offers a new narrative of humanity’s deep history. Here beloved podcast host Patrick Wyman focuses on the 10,000-year span between the end of the Ice Age and the decline of the Bronze Age—the period when civilization as we understand it emerged, introducing social hierarchies, urbanism, complex political organizations, and the written word.In this nuanced retelling, human progress is no longer a straight march from caves to cities: Farming didn’t always replace foraging, villages didn’t automatically spark agriculture, and cities didn’t necessitate rigid hierarchies. For thousands of years, humans merely improvised. By the end of the Bronze Age, the world had become unrecognizable: mammoths and giant sloths replaced by cattle and sheep, scattered nomadic bands replaced by millions living in cities, and farming on nearly every continent. Wyman argues that the rise of states and steady food production wasn’t inevitable, but rather, the outcome of countless choices that reshaped the planet and made us who we are today.Combining cutting-edge science with gripping storytelling, Lost Worlds explores: <ul><li>A Sweeping New History of the Ancient World: Discover how early societies rose, adapted, and collapsed across thousands of years of human history.</li><li>The Archaeology Revolution: Ancient DNA, climate science, and new excavation methods are revealing how prehistoric people lived, migrated, and fought.</li><li>From Ice Age Hunters to Early Civilizations: Follow the dramatic transformation that led from nomadic foragers to farming, cities, and powerful states.</li><li>Why Societies Rise—and Fall: Learn how climate change, migration, population growth, and conflict shaped the fate of early civilizations.</li></ul>

How Humans Tried, Failed, Succeeded, and Built Our World

Lost Worlds

Two of the world's leading researchers on behavior and decision-making join forces to equip readers with the knowledge, tools, and techniques to live our best, most human lives in an age of machines. “The real problem of humanity is the following: We have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions and godlike technology. And it is terrifically dangerous.” —E.O WilsonOur choices and experience of the world are increasingly shaped by powerful interests and godlike technology. Somebody else is deciding what ‘good’ choices look like—and often that means good for them, not for you. From the social media apps hijacking your attention and algorithms quietly curating your reality, to the markets profiting from confusion and AI systems slowly eroding your thinking: your choices are shaped by people who understand your psychology better than you do, and use that knowledge for their own ends. Against this backdrop, it is easy to feel diminished and 'done to'.This book is about fighting back—individually and collectively—and becoming the best of ourselves. Becoming super-humans. Drawing on over 1,000 experiments run across more than 70 countries, Halpern and Costa show how you can boost your own agency and decision-making, how we can upgrade our systems and institutions so that it is easier for everyone to choose well, and how we can shape AI so that it amplifies human capability rather than replacing it.Super-Human ultimately asks us to make the biggest choice of all: in an age when machines can think, decide and even feel on our behalf—what kind of humans do we want to be? <ul><li>Human. Reclaiming agency and becoming a better decision-maker (Chapters 1-3). Understanding how human attention and sense-making works, so that we can self-guide, rather than be hacked by others - and more effectively turn our intentions into action.</li><li>Supra-human. Building systems that support us to choose well together. (Chapters 4-7). Humans are social creatures, who think aloud and together. It's a feature not a fault. Social networks, markets and institutions strongly enable us to achieve things we could never do alone, but also operate as ‘supra-human’ influences on our behavior. Yet individually and collectively we have power to channel and shape them too - more power than we realize</li><li>Super-human. Shaping the technology that will shape us. (Chapter 8) AI could be the ultimate ‘bicycle of the mind’, but it can also become a crutch rather than a coach. It poses opportunity and challenge - to boost our capabilities to superhuman levels, or to become our inadvertent master.</li><li>Future-human. What kind of humans do we ultimately want to be? (Conclusion) Our minds today have been shaped by the technologies and institutions of our ancestors, in ways they could not have anticipated. We can make choices that will alter our minds and those that follow: what shall we choose?</li></ul>

Reclaiming Our Power to Choose and Shape the Future

Super-Human

Uncover the psychological shortcuts that shape every decision you make - and learn how to use them in business. Voted #1 in the BBH World Cup of Advertising Books Winner of the Sales and Marketing Category at the Business Book Awards Before you can influence decisions, you need to understand what drives them. The Choice Factory is an essential read for anyone who wants to learn. By observing a typical day of decision-making, from trivial food choices to significant work-place moves, behavioural science expert Richard Shotton investigates how our behaviour is shaped by psychological shortcuts. With a clear focus on the marketing potential of knowing what makes us tick, he draws on evidence from academia, real-life ad campaigns and his own original research. Entertaining and highly accessible, The Choice Factory is made up of 25 short chapters, each addressing a cognitive bias and outlining simple ways to apply it to your own marketing challenges. Shotton interviews some of the smartest and most influential thinkers in advertising, including Rory Sutherland, Lucy Jameson and Mark Earls. Covering everything from priming to the pratfall effect, charm pricing to the curse of knowledge, with The Choice Factory as your guide it has never been easier to apply the science of behavioural economics to marketing. 'Actionable, memorable and powerful' - Seth Godin, bestselling author of This is Marketing Now part of the Harriman House Essentials Collection, a series showcasing the very best of business and finance books.

Harriman House Essentials

The Choice Factory

Negotiating with Trump

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