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Economics and Finance (R0)

Vernon L. Smith

Adam Smith's Theory of Society

Social Rules for Order in Society and Economy

&lt;p&gt;- Forthcoming.- Forthcoming.&lt;/p&gt;


A dazzling exploration of the phenomenon of prediction betting markets that asks: what happens when democracy becomes another commodity? For many, Donald Trump's decisive election victory over Kamala Harris in 2024 was a shock. Traditional polls had the race on a razor's edge. But, for those with eyes on prediction betting markets, a very different story was being told. In recent years, prediction markets have swept the world, fundamentally changing the nature of the gambling market, and making their youthful pioneers billionaires. Posed as binary 'Yes/No' questions about future events, prediction bets allow any difference of opinion - whether on politics, wars, assassinations or popular culture - to be financialised. But are these markets really a new phenomenon? What does it mean when markets get closer to the truth than the institutions we built to protect us? And what happens when those tasked with safeguarding democracy possess financial stakes in its volatility? From Renaissance Rome, where merchants wagered on papal conclaves, through London coffee house gossip during the Napoleonic Wars, to the Pentagon's ill-fated terrorism futures exchange, The Big Bet describes the full five-hundred-year arc of a permissive regime which no one designed and no one voted for. Drawing on deep expertise, Michael Auerbach examines how these markets are changing our world, and what they mean for the future of our democratic self-governance. Because they are not an anomaly - they are the logical endpoint of a society that has applied market capitalism to every aspect of life. And in a world when everything is a wager and nothing is off limits, knowing where the chips will fall matters more than ever.

Prediction Markets and the Future of Democracy

The Big Bet

The old playbook is dead. We have entered an era defined by non-linear dynamics, where AI startups outpace trillion-dollar giants and a single digital token reshapes financial reality overnight. In All Swans Are Black, economic historian Dror Poleg argues that unpredictable, high-impact events are no longer the exception, but the rule. Poleg explains how the shift from tangible factories to intangible assets like software and stories has fractured the relationship between effort and reward. To navigate this chaos, he provides a practical toolkit for a world where nobody knows anything: <ul><li>Leave slack: Maintain flexibility to survive downturns while staying ready for sudden upside.</li><li>Make asymmetrical bets: Lean toward actions where the cost of failure is low but the potential reward is uncapped.</li><li>Find patterns: Stop overanalysing why things happen and start identifying the recurring patterns that actually drive results.</li><li>Stay hungry: Assume that whatever helped you get ahead today will not be enough to keep you there tomorrow.</li></ul> Blending rigorous research with his experience as a combat veteran, executive and tech founder, Poleg shows you how to stop trying to predict the future, and instead learn to start flourishing within its uncertainty.

The New Rules of Wealth, Work and Power

All Swans Are Black

A Financial Times Book of the Year No other phenomenon has shaped human history as decisively as capitalism. It structures how we live and work, how we think about ourselves and others, how we organise our politics. Sven Beckert situates the story of capitalism within the largest conceivable geographical and historical framework in this fascinating new book. Capitalism, argues Beckert, was born global. Emerging from merchant communities across Asia, Africa and Europe, capitalism's radical recasting of economic life rooted itself only gradually. Then it burst onto the world scene, as European states and merchants built a powerful alliance that would propel them across the oceans. This epic drama corresponded at no point to an idealised dream of free markets. All along, state-backed institutions and imperial expansions shaped its dynamics. Capitalism decentres the European perspective, highlighting agency, resistance, innovation and ruthless coercion around the world through to the present with the rise of Asian economies, particularly China. Sven Beckert doesn't merely add up capitalism's debits and credits in this monumental book, but allows us to think afresh about the past to help us re-imagine the future.

A Global History

Capitalism

World Economies

An economic history of postwar South Africa, with particular focus on the modern post-apartheid period.

An economic history of postwar South Africa, with particular focus on the modern post-apartheid period.

The South African Economy

For most of the postwar period South Africa has been the largest economy in Africa, with relatively high levels of industrialization, a modern banking and financial sector and a globally significant mining industry. However, today discussion of its economy is dominated by its widespread poverty, high unemployment and extreme inequality - inequality which still exhibits strong racial lines despite the emergence of a new black elite and middle class. Indeed, amongst the countries with reliable measures, South Africa ranks as the most unequal country in the world. Sam Ashman provides a penetrating and insightful survey of South Africa's postwar economic history, in particular its economic development since 1994, when the African National Congress came to office and universal adult suffrage was finally introduced. The book examines both the legacy of the apartheid era political economy, as well as the impact of financial and trade liberalization since the 1990s, and the privatization and corporate restructuring that have, if anything, deepened the structural economic challenges the country now faces. Key features of the economy are examined in turn, including the continuing importance of mining and the export of primary commodities; the liberalization and financialization of the economy and the deindustrialization arising from that; the dominance of oligopolies in major sectors; and the ongoing crises of poverty, unemployment and rising inequality.

Relationships in trade and investment between Europe, the United States, and sub-Saharan Africa have long been asymmetrical, marked by systemic overcharges, underpayments, and exploitative practices. This book highlights a concept called kleptomation: a systematic, sustained theft of labor, resources, and wealth. Chapters examine the depth, breadth, and persistence of this economic injustice, exploring the inauthentic accumulation of wealth on the part of the West over the course of several hundred years.In the book, economist Richard F.&nbsp;America&nbsp;proposes a unified framework for reparations to address centuries of wrongful enrichment, illicit transactions, and hidden subsidies that have fueled Western prosperity. This framework is clearly defined and grounded in redistributive economic justice. Acknowledging previous attempts to repair the damage caused by kleptomation, this book presents a 40-year plan that international development executives, policymakers, and program managers can use to scale up capital transfers for development programs in Africa.Drawing on historical analysis and contemporary policy debates, the book exposes flaws in international trade accounting that obscure the true scale of wealth extraction. It calls for sustained capital transfers and structural reforms to recover unjust enrichment and accelerate Africa’s development over the next four decades. The resulting resource provides practical guidance for policymakers, development practitioners, and global institutions—including the World Bank, the European Union, the African Union, and civil society—seeking to end chronic poverty and achieve broadly shared prosperity within 40 years.Richard F.&nbsp;America&nbsp;
 is Professor of Practice Emeritus in the&nbsp;McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. His research focuses on&nbsp;community reinvestment and investing in Africa. He is the author of numerous&nbsp;books and scholarly and professional articles. His seminal article, “What Do You
 
 People Want?” (Harvard Business Review, 1969), helped set the stage for the ongoing discussion of a form of reparations in the United States. His work in Africa has focused on improving management education, impact investing, and corporate philanthropy, strengthening African business schools, and expanding local and community-based economic development. He is the editor of 
 Accounting for Colonialism 
 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2024).

Relationships in trade and investment between Europe, the United States, and sub-Saharan Africa have long been asymmetrical, marked by systemic overcharges, underpayments, and exploitative practices. This book highlights a concept called kleptomation: a systematic, sustained theft of labor, resources, and wealth. Chapters examine the depth, breadth, and persistence of this economic injustice, exploring the inauthentic accumulation of wealth on the part of the West over the course of several hundred years.In the book, economist Richard F.&nbsp;America&nbsp;proposes a unified framework for reparations to address centuries of wrongful enrichment, illicit transactions, and hidden subsidies that have fueled Western prosperity. This framework is clearly defined and grounded in redistributive economic justice. Acknowledging previous attempts to repair the damage caused by kleptomation, this book presents a 40-year plan that international development executives, policymakers, and program managers can use to scale up capital transfers for development programs in Africa.Drawing on historical analysis and contemporary policy debates, the book exposes flaws in international trade accounting that obscure the true scale of wealth extraction. It calls for sustained capital transfers and structural reforms to recover unjust enrichment and accelerate Africa’s development over the next four decades. The resulting resource provides practical guidance for policymakers, development practitioners, and global institutions—including the World Bank, the European Union, the African Union, and civil society—seeking to end chronic poverty and achieve broadly shared prosperity within 40 years.

A Reparations Framework for International Development Policy and Finance

Restoring Africa’s Stolen Wealth

Contributions to Management Science

This edited volume explores the prospects for entrepreneurship and digital transformation across the Persian Gulf and Arabian Gulf (Red Sea) economies. Through in-depth scholarly discussions, it highlights the significance of these twin forces in shaping economic and social development within a region that occupies a critical position in global trade and international interdependence.Chapter contributions to this volume investigate diverse themes relevant to digital and entrepreneurial ecosystems in the PGAG (Persian Gulf and Arabian Gulf) region. Topics include: consumer adoption of contactless payments; government initiatives supporting digital readiness; the role of emerging technologies in entrepreneurship education; challenges in digital entrepreneurship; comparative analyses of artificial intelligence practices; the impact of digital transformation on youth entrepreneurship; bibliometric insights into digital sports marketing; and sociological analyses of social exploitation and agency.Together, these chapters offer a comprehensive and interdisciplinary understanding of how entrepreneurship and digital transformation can advance regional development, economic resilience, and global partnership. As such it will be of particular interest to students and scholars in the fields of entrepreneurship, innovation, development economics, Middle Eastern politics, and political economy, as well as practitioners and policymakers interested in strengthening entrepreneurial systems, advancing economic diversification, and promoting social inclusion in an era of rapid technological change.

Dynamics of Entrepreneurship and Digital Transformation

The Persian Gulf and Arabian Gulf Economies in Transition

Legal Foundations of American Immigration Policy

Crafting an Immigrant Republic

In analyzing how business interacts with the evolution of economic, technological and political systems over the long term, the book provides a unique method to understand this increasingly vital topic. Updated to incorporate more detail on management theories, the new edition also brings the story up to date to the era of global crisis and financialization.With a chronological approach and led by globally-recognized experts on business history, this is essential reading for all business students and scholars looking at the past and towards the future.

In this textbook, expert authors Amatori and Colli present businesses as the key driver of economic change and development. In analyzing how business interacts with the evolution of economic, technological and political systems over the long term, the book provides a unique method to understand this increasingly vital topic. Updated to incorporate more detail on management theories, the new edition also brings the story up to date to the era of global crisis and financialization.With a chronological approach and led by globally-recognized experts on business history, this is essential reading for all business students and scholars looking at the past and towards the future.

Complexities and Comparisons

Business History

Econometric Society Monographs

A Framework for Economists with Policy Aspirations

Minimalist Market Design

The New York Times bestseller, Financial Times and Sunday Times Book of the Year Shortlisted for the Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year The book we need to understand China today: a riveting, first-hand account of its seismic progress from an indispensable expert voice For close to a decade, Dan Wang has been observing China's tumultuous and astounding growth. The state has constructed towering bridges, gleaming railways and sprawling factories to improve economic outcomes in record time. But rapid change has also sent ripples of pain throughout society. China has grown so quickly in part by beating America at its own game: capitalism and harnessing the restless energy of a vast population. Here Wang blends political and economic analysis with reportage into a provocative new framework for understanding China - one that helps us see America more clearly, too. Whereas China is an engineering state, relentlessly building big, the United States has transformed into a lawyerly society, stalling every attempt to make change, both good and bad. As relations between the US and China are tense and uncertain and the potential for dreadful conflict looms, Wang offers an inventive new way of thinking about the two superpowers. Breakneck reveals that each country points towards a better path for the other. How much better the world would be, he argues, if Americans could live in a society not only governed by lawyers, and Chinese citizens could live with a state that values their individual liberties. 'An illuminating account of China's dizzying rise and its deepening pathologies' Chris Miller 'One of the best books published on China this year' The Times

China's Quest to Engineer the Future

Breakneck

Adam Smith's Theory of Society

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