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Williams M: The PEMDAS of People

The PEMDAS of People

How we can prepare children to find insights and cognitive agency in a world of ever shrinking opportunities to learn how things work. From infancy onwards, children show a natural interest in the hidden causes of surface patterns. But that kind of childhood is being derailed by a world that is no longer causally transparent. Younger generations seek different kinds of explanations now, value different kinds of experts, and are more prone to outsource their understandings. In many cases, they don’t realize how much they have surrendered their intellectual efficacy. What does this all mean for their learning? In The Disappearance of Insight, Frank Keil investigates how rapid technological change is shaping the world around us--and what this all means for our children and their futures. Explanation and understanding are at the heart of a cognitively meaningful life. But the things we can explain and want to understand are dramatically changing. In many cases, over the past fifty years or so, those things—and parts of things—have shifted from easily interpretable components to opaque ones. In 1960, for example, the insides of thermostats, cameras, and clocks revealed how they worked. Today, their insides are indecipherable circuit boards. The author shows why insight and explanations are at the heart of higher-level human cognition; explores how artifacts and their roles in evolving cultures can shape thought and developing minds; and does much more, in this fascinating deep dive into cognition, learning, and AI.

How we can prepare children to find insights and cognitive agency in a world of ever shrinking opportunities to learn how things work. From infancy onwards, children show a natural interest in the hidden causes of surface patterns. But that kind of childhood is being derailed by a world that is no longer causally transparent. Younger generations seek different kinds of explanations now, value different kinds of experts, and are more prone to outsource their understandings. In many cases, they don’t realize how much they have surrendered their intellectual efficacy. What does this all mean for their learning? In The Disappearance of Insight, Frank Keil investigates how rapid technological change is shaping the world around us--and what this all means for our children and their futures. Explanation and understanding are at the heart of a cognitively meaningful life. But the things we can explain and want to understand are dramatically changing. In many cases, over the past fifty years or so, those things—and parts of things—have shifted from easily interpretable components to opaque ones. In 1960, for example, the insides of thermostats, cameras, and clocks revealed how they worked. Today, their insides are indecipherable circuit boards. The author shows why insight and explanations are at the heart of higher-level human cognition; explores how artifacts and their roles in evolving cultures can shape thought and developing minds; and does much more, in this fascinating deep dive into cognition, learning, and AI.

When Technology Undermines How and Why

The Disappearance of Insight

BARACK OBAMA’S 2026 SUMMER READING PICKAn NPR, New Scientist, Nautilus, and Next Big Idea Club Best Book of the Month“Here is the new history of mankind demanded by our times.” —Jaron Lanier, author of Who Owns the Future? “A must-read.”—NPR, “15 Books Our Critics Can’t Wait to Read This Summer”“Essential reading for understanding the opportunities and dangers of the technological revolution now transforming our world.” —Jonathan Kennedy, author of PathogenesisFrom clay tablets to the algorithmic state, a groundbreaking new lens on human history arguing that information has always been the seed of power, for readers of Nexus and The Age of Surveillance Capitalism.Long before writing existed, at the dawn of civilization in Mesopotamia, rulers pressed marks into clay to keep track of land, people and grain. To rule, they had to keep count. It is no accident, then, that the first written name in human history was neither a god nor a king, but an accountant.As ships and navigation expanded our horizons, a new age of European empires took control of more than 80 percent of the world’s surface using censuses, maps and ledgers to decide who belonged, who owed, and who could be sacrificed. Today, we live in the third great era, when trading our information for access can feel harmless or inevitable – yet from targeted advertising to border policing and mass surveillance, data shapes the course of our lives.With our earliest tools like ancient cave markings and knotted strings, to colonial record-keeping and the algorithmic state, Data Empire reveals how data has always been the seed of power: a technology of control that has shaped civilizations and upheld empires. Empire was never just about weapons or ships. It was built on collecting information on us, to rule us. Both a sweeping history and a sharp critique, Data Empire is a call to recognize the power data holds—and to imagine what resistance looks like in an age defined by it. In looking at the history of data, readers will understand: <ul><li>Data made civilization possible: Long before algorithms and AI, systems of counting, recording, and organizing information enabled everything from agriculture to taxation. The infrastructures of data are as old as cities themselves, and they are the precondition for large-scale human coordination.</li><li>Every system of data is also a system of power: From clay tablets in Mesopotamia to colonial censuses to modern databases, data determines who is visible, who is legible, and who can be governed.</li><li>The modern data state was built in moments of crisis: In the twentieth century, governments became vast information-processing systems. What we now think of as "data” was created in response to economic collapse and geopolitical conflict.</li><li>The “data” we know now is built on much older inequalities: Today’s digital systems inherit the logics of earlier recordkeeping regimes, including those shaped by colonialism, racial classification, and forms of government that extract from land and from populations. The biases we see in algorithms are not new but continuations of a long history.</li><li>We are living through a transformation in who controls data—and therefore power: For most of history, data infrastructures were largely state-driven. Today, they are increasingly owned and operated by private corporations, even as they structure public life. This shift raises urgent questions about accountability, sovereignty, and the future of public life.</li></ul>

BARACK OBAMA’S 2026 SUMMER READING PICKAn NPR, New Scientist, Nautilus, and Next Big Idea Club Best Book of the Month“Here is the new history of mankind demanded by our times.” —Jaron Lanier, author of Who Owns the Future? “A must-read.”—NPR, “15 Books Our Critics Can’t Wait to Read This Summer”“Essential reading for understanding the opportunities and dangers of the technological revolution now transforming our world.” —Jonathan Kennedy, author of PathogenesisFrom clay tablets to the algorithmic state, a groundbreaking new lens on human history arguing that information has always been the seed of power, for readers of Nexus and The Age of Surveillance Capitalism.Long before writing existed, at the dawn of civilization in Mesopotamia, rulers pressed marks into clay to keep track of land, people and grain. To rule, they had to keep count. It is no accident, then, that the first written name in human history was neither a god nor a king, but an accountant.As ships and navigation expanded our horizons, a new age of European empires took control of more than 80 percent of the world’s surface using censuses, maps and ledgers to decide who belonged, who owed, and who could be sacrificed. Today, we live in the third great era, when trading our information for access can feel harmless or inevitable – yet from targeted advertising to border policing and mass surveillance, data shapes the course of our lives.With our earliest tools like ancient cave markings and knotted strings, to colonial record-keeping and the algorithmic state, Data Empire reveals how data has always been the seed of power: a technology of control that has shaped civilizations and upheld empires. Empire was never just about weapons or ships. It was built on collecting information on us, to rule us. Both a sweeping history and a sharp critique, Data Empire is a call to recognize the power data holds—and to imagine what resistance looks like in an age defined by it. In looking at the history of data, readers will understand: <ul><li>Data made civilization possible: Long before algorithms and AI, systems of counting, recording, and organizing information enabled everything from agriculture to taxation. The infrastructures of data are as old as cities themselves, and they are the precondition for large-scale human coordination.</li><li>Every system of data is also a system of power: From clay tablets in Mesopotamia to colonial censuses to modern databases, data determines who is visible, who is legible, and who can be governed.</li><li>The modern data state was built in moments of crisis: In the twentieth century, governments became vast information-processing systems. What we now think of as "data” was created in response to economic collapse and geopolitical conflict.</li><li>The “data” we know now is built on much older inequalities: Today’s digital systems inherit the logics of earlier recordkeeping regimes, including those shaped by colonialism, racial classification, and forms of government that extract from land and from populations. The biases we see in algorithms are not new but continuations of a long history.</li><li>We are living through a transformation in who controls data—and therefore power: For most of history, data infrastructures were largely state-driven. Today, they are increasingly owned and operated by private corporations, even as they structure public life. This shift raises urgent questions about accountability, sovereignty, and the future of public life.</li></ul>

The Power of Information to Organize, Control, and Dominate

Data Empire

Invisible Things

From the creators of the New York Times bestseller Invisible Things, this entertaining exploration of invisible mysteries is a mind-tickling, STEM-friendly invitation to explore the unseen world.The universe is full of Mysterious Things-lost things, forgotten things, things we don't know, and even things we don't know we don't know! In fact, you might say the world contains more questions than answers! Questions like:<ul><li>What do dreams mean?</li><li>What is at the bottom of the ocean?</li><li>Where is that lost puzzle piece?</li></ul>If you're ready to begin unravelling these mysteries and more, grab your detective's hat or slip into your lab coat and come along on an exciting journey to embrace the unknown.INSPIRATIONAL FUN: Learning about some of the universe's mysteries-like dreams, heebie-jeebies, dark matter, curiosity, rumors, and so much more-will inspire&nbsp;kids to dream big and explore a world full of untapped possibilities, showing that not everything has been discovered yet.LIFELONG LEARNING: This vibrant book introduces the idea that there's so much we don't know, turning curiosity and problem-solving into a lifelong adventure and fostering a growth mindset.STEM THEMES: Packed with engaging content and visuals, Mysterious Things will spark curiosity about science, technology, engineering, and math in a fun way.PRAISE FOR INVISIBLE THINGS: "Invisible Things is as interactive as you want it to be. Along the way, there are seek-and-finds, mindfulness exercises, and discussion topics, but it also works well as a straight-ahead read-aloud. The experience is somehow simultaneously contemplative and exuberant. It's a winning, wholly original book." -The New York TimesGREAT GIFT: Pair with any of the books in Andy J. Pizza and Sophie Miller's bestselling series, including Invisible Things, Get the Giggles, and Feel Calm, to create an outstanding present for young learners.Perfect for:&nbsp;<ul><li>A distinctive gift to encourage curiosity and wonder in kids</li><li>Teachers, educators, and librarians seeking classroom books with STEM content</li><li>Anyone interested in&nbsp;entertaining ways to explore our world with kids</li><li>Parents, grandparents, and caregivers seeking engaging&nbsp; and artful nonfiction picture books</li><li>Fans of Andy J. Pizza, the&nbsp;Creative Pep Talk podcast, or his many books, including the viral internet hit Invisible Things</li></ul>

Mysterious Things

How to move beyond guessing about manager skill with decision-based analytics, not the outcome-based analytics used at present. Skill is the raison d’être for active equity management. Yet precious little is known about manager skill. What is skill? Who has it? How should it be measured? Is a manager’s skill improving, declining, or remaining consistent? Without answers to such fundamental questions, capital allocators have no choice but to rely on inferences, hunches, and guesswork. In Skill Versus Luck, Michael Ervolini explains how to move beyond skill fog with newer analytics developed over the past decade. Unlike conventional analytics that simply rehash fund outcomes, the newer cause-and-effect analytics relate a manager’s decisions to fund excess returns, providing rigorous measures of manager skill. Results from these newer analytics enable capital allocators to understand manager skill for the first time and make more effective allocation decisions.

How to move beyond guessing about manager skill with decision-based analytics, not the outcome-based analytics used at present. Skill is the raison d’être for active equity management. Yet precious little is known about manager skill. What is skill? Who has it? How should it be measured? Is a manager’s skill improving, declining, or remaining consistent? Without answers to such fundamental questions, capital allocators have no choice but to rely on inferences, hunches, and guesswork. In Skill Versus Luck, Michael Ervolini explains how to move beyond skill fog with newer analytics developed over the past decade. Unlike conventional analytics that simply rehash fund outcomes, the newer cause-and-effect analytics relate a manager’s decisions to fund excess returns, providing rigorous measures of manager skill. Results from these newer analytics enable capital allocators to understand manager skill for the first time and make more effective allocation decisions.

Taking the Guessing Out of Equity Fund Selection

Skill Versus Luck

Pelican Books

'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

The Art of Uncertainty

Klassiker im Insel Verlag

Der große Roman um weibliche SelbstbestimmungEs war der Fehler ihres Lebens: Anne Elliot hat sich von ihrer selbstsüchtigen Familie dazu überreden lassen, den Heiratsantrag des bürgerlichen und mittellosen Frederick Wentworth auszuschlagen. Überwunden hat sie den Verlust ihrer großen Liebe allerdings nie. Als sie Jahre später dem inzwischen erfolgreichen und geachteten Captain Wentworth wieder gegenübersteht, sind ihre Gefühle stärker als je zuvor – doch gibt es für ihre Liebe eine zweite Chance?

oder Die Kunst der Überredung | Hochwertige Schmuckausgabe mit Farbschnitt | Die erste Second-Chance-Romance der Weltliteratur

Anne Elliot

From James B. Stewart, the New York Times bestselling co-author of Unscripted and winner of the Pulitzer Prize, a deeply reported investigation into Harvard University, what happened when the Trump administration declared war on it, and the epic battle between the old guard and new money for control over a fabled institution Harvard University, a symbol of excellence and prestige for nearly 400 years, has been under attack. The assault, by no means limited to the right-wing attacks on DEI, or the lawsuits brought by the Trump administration over billions of dollars in Federal funding, has exposed deep fault lines within academia and American society at large. The Harvard presidency is arguably the most powerful and influential position in academia, not least because it comes with huge sway over the university’s vast $57 billion endowment. Beginning with the controversial tenure of Lawrence Summers as president of Harvard, James Stewart goes behind the scenes with power brokers and students alike to reveal how Summers’s abrupt departure set the stage for a progressive backlash when Drew Faust was hired as his replacement, and for the highly symbolic choice of Claudine Gay as the university’s first Black president. After Hamas attacked Israel, Republican Congresswoman and Harvard graduate Elise Stefanik led a Congressional inquiry into antisemitism on campus. As the controversy intensified, Gay was accused of plagiarism and forced to resign. But these events were only the preamble to the multiple lawsuits the second Trump administration would file against Harvard in the years to come, forcing Harvard into the impossible position of trying to defend academic freedom at the risk of crucial funding. A propulsive, character-driven narrative, replete with bold-faced names, combining deep investigative reporting and breaking news, this will be the definitive account of an institution on the brink. Using Harvard as the prism, Stewart confronts some of the most entrenched and sensitive fault lines of our polarized age, as the countervailing forces of meritocracy, elitism, identity politics, and tradition bear down on higher education from all sides. At stake is not only the future of Harvard, America’s preeminent university, but the very idea of education itself, and the unending struggle for the soul of the nation.

From James B. Stewart, the New York Times bestselling co-author of Unscripted and winner of the Pulitzer Prize, a deeply reported investigation into Harvard University, what happened when the Trump administration declared war on it, and the epic battle between the old guard and new money for control over a fabled institution Harvard University, a symbol of excellence and prestige for nearly 400 years, has been under attack. The assault, by no means limited to the right-wing attacks on DEI, or the lawsuits brought by the Trump administration over billions of dollars in Federal funding, has exposed deep fault lines within academia and American society at large. The Harvard presidency is arguably the most powerful and influential position in academia, not least because it comes with huge sway over the university’s vast $57 billion endowment. Beginning with the controversial tenure of Lawrence Summers as president of Harvard, James Stewart goes behind the scenes with power brokers and students alike to reveal how Summers’s abrupt departure set the stage for a progressive backlash when Drew Faust was hired as his replacement, and for the highly symbolic choice of Claudine Gay as the university’s first Black president. After Hamas attacked Israel, Republican Congresswoman and Harvard graduate Elise Stefanik led a Congressional inquiry into antisemitism on campus. As the controversy intensified, Gay was accused of plagiarism and forced to resign. But these events were only the preamble to the multiple lawsuits the second Trump administration would file against Harvard in the years to come, forcing Harvard into the impossible position of trying to defend academic freedom at the risk of crucial funding. A propulsive, character-driven narrative, replete with bold-faced names, combining deep investigative reporting and breaking news, this will be the definitive account of an institution on the brink. Using Harvard as the prism, Stewart confronts some of the most entrenched and sensitive fault lines of our polarized age, as the countervailing forces of meritocracy, elitism, identity politics, and tradition bear down on higher education from all sides. At stake is not only the future of Harvard, America’s preeminent university, but the very idea of education itself, and the unending struggle for the soul of the nation.

The War for Harvard and the Future of Higher Education

Ivory Tower

The comprehensively updated new edition of a bestselling textbook that covers fundamental features of bonds, analytical techniques, and portfolio strategies. Now in its 11th edition, this bestselling textbook illuminates the complexities and dynamics of the bond markets, integrating rigorous technical content with real-world case studies to effectively bridge theory and application. Advances in technology and data availability have fundamentally transformed how fixed-income securities are valued, traded, and managed. This fully updated new edition addresses the growing demand for tools and techniques that support sophisticated decision-making in increasingly complex markets by incorporating the latest analytical frameworks and computational methods with a solid grounding in core principles. Designed for a broad audience, it gives students the fundamental knowledge they need to excel in portfolio management, trading, and risk analysis roles while equipping experienced practitioners with more profound insights into advanced strategies and contemporary challenges. New edition highlights: <ul><li>New chapters on analytical tools, bond trading mechanics, strategies, and backtesting</li><li>Cutting-edge topics include machine learning, NLP, and trading mechanics</li><li>Expanded coverage of corporate bond credit models, return attribution models, and the latest models analyzing convertible bonds</li><li>Extensive new appendices feature case studies from diverse practitioners</li><li>Pragmatic modular structuring adapts to diverse course designs</li><li>End-of-chapter internet questions, slides, and solutions</li></ul>

The comprehensively updated new edition of a bestselling textbook that covers fundamental features of bonds, analytical techniques, and portfolio strategies. Now in its 11th edition, this bestselling textbook illuminates the complexities and dynamics of the bond markets, integrating rigorous technical content with real-world case studies to effectively bridge theory and application. Advances in technology and data availability have fundamentally transformed how fixed-income securities are valued, traded, and managed. This fully updated new edition addresses the growing demand for tools and techniques that support sophisticated decision-making in increasingly complex markets by incorporating the latest analytical frameworks and computational methods with a solid grounding in core principles. Designed for a broad audience, it gives students the fundamental knowledge they need to excel in portfolio management, trading, and risk analysis roles while equipping experienced practitioners with more profound insights into advanced strategies and contemporary challenges. New edition highlights: <ul><li>New chapters on analytical tools, bond trading mechanics, strategies, and backtesting</li><li>Cutting-edge topics include machine learning, NLP, and trading mechanics</li><li>Expanded coverage of corporate bond credit models, return attribution models, and the latest models analyzing convertible bonds</li><li>Extensive new appendices feature case studies from diverse practitioners</li><li>Pragmatic modular structuring adapts to diverse course designs</li><li>End-of-chapter internet questions, slides, and solutions</li></ul>

Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, eleventh edition

«Nos estamos promocionando todo el tiempo, en cualquier ámbito. Por eso este libro sirve para todos. Podés arrancar hoy mismo. No hace falta estar totalmente preparado. Empezá a promocionarte y ajustá mientras avanzás. Lo importante es hacer. Y estoy convencido de que si aplicás El Método Briones, vas a lograr resultados.» Todo es una venta. En un mundo donde todos compiten por atención, el que no se promociona pierde. La habilidad más valiosa hoy en día es saber hacer marketing: comunicar quién eres, qué ofreces y por qué conviene elegirte. Beltrán Briones explica el sistema que creó él mismo y que demuestra su eficacia todos los días para posicionar su empresa, generar clientes y vender departamentos. A través de su experiencia en el real estate, el autor prueba cómo la promoción y las relaciones públicas constantes pueden implementarse con éxito en cualquier rubro. Esta es una guía práctica. Un manual para emprendedores, profesionales y empresarios que quieren mejorar su imagen y aumentar la demanda. Explica qué métricas mirar, cómo probar distintos canales y cómo construir una marca que efectivamente ayude a vender. El Método Briones se basa en conceptos simples y prácticos aplicados al día a día de cualquier compañía. ENGLISH DESCRIPTION “We’re constantly promoting ourselves all the time, in every aspect of life. That is why this book is for everyone. You can get started today. You don’t need to be fully prepared. Start promoting yourself and adjust as you move forward. The important thing is to take action. And I am convinced that if you apply The Briones Method, you will achieve results.” Everything is a sale. In a world where everyone is competing for attention, those who don’t promote themselves lose out. The most valuable skill today is knowing how to do marketing: communicating who you are, what you offer, and why you should be chosen. Beltrán Briones explains the system he created himself, which proves its effectiveness every day in positioning his company, generating clients, and selling apartments. Through his experience in real estate, the author demonstrates how consistent promotion and public relations can be successfully implemented in any industry. This is a practical guide. A manual for entrepreneurs, professionals, and business owners who want to improve their image and increase demand. It explains which metrics to track, how to test different channels, and how to build a brand that effectively helps drive sales. The Briones Method is based on simple, practical concepts applied to the day-to-day operations of any company.

«Nos estamos promocionando todo el tiempo, en cualquier ámbito. Por eso este libro sirve para todos. Podés arrancar hoy mismo. No hace falta estar totalmente preparado. Empezá a promocionarte y ajustá mientras avanzás. Lo importante es hacer. Y estoy convencido de que si aplicás El Método Briones, vas a lograr resultados.» Todo es una venta. En un mundo donde todos compiten por atención, el que no se promociona pierde. La habilidad más valiosa hoy en día es saber hacer marketing: comunicar quién eres, qué ofreces y por qué conviene elegirte. Beltrán Briones explica el sistema que creó él mismo y que demuestra su eficacia todos los días para posicionar su empresa, generar clientes y vender departamentos. A través de su experiencia en el real estate, el autor prueba cómo la promoción y las relaciones públicas constantes pueden implementarse con éxito en cualquier rubro. Esta es una guía práctica. Un manual para emprendedores, profesionales y empresarios que quieren mejorar su imagen y aumentar la demanda. Explica qué métricas mirar, cómo probar distintos canales y cómo construir una marca que efectivamente ayude a vender. El Método Briones se basa en conceptos simples y prácticos aplicados al día a día de cualquier compañía. ENGLISH DESCRIPTION “We’re constantly promoting ourselves all the time, in every aspect of life. That is why this book is for everyone. You can get started today. You don’t need to be fully prepared. Start promoting yourself and adjust as you move forward. The important thing is to take action. And I am convinced that if you apply The Briones Method, you will achieve results.” Everything is a sale. In a world where everyone is competing for attention, those who don’t promote themselves lose out. The most valuable skill today is knowing how to do marketing: communicating who you are, what you offer, and why you should be chosen. Beltrán Briones explains the system he created himself, which proves its effectiveness every day in positioning his company, generating clients, and selling apartments. Through his experience in real estate, the author demonstrates how consistent promotion and public relations can be successfully implemented in any industry. This is a practical guide. A manual for entrepreneurs, professionals, and business owners who want to improve their image and increase demand. It explains which metrics to track, how to test different channels, and how to build a brand that effectively helps drive sales. The Briones Method is based on simple, practical concepts applied to the day-to-day operations of any company.

El método Briones / The Briones Method

Uncover the psychological shortcuts that shape every decision you make - and learn how to use them in business. Voted #1 in the BBH World Cup of Advertising Books Winner of the Sales and Marketing Category at the Business Book Awards Before you can influence decisions, you need to understand what drives them. The Choice Factory is an essential read for anyone who wants to learn. By observing a typical day of decision-making, from trivial food choices to significant work-place moves, behavioural science expert Richard Shotton investigates how our behaviour is shaped by psychological shortcuts. With a clear focus on the marketing potential of knowing what makes us tick, he draws on evidence from academia, real-life ad campaigns and his own original research. Entertaining and highly accessible, The Choice Factory is made up of 25 short chapters, each addressing a cognitive bias and outlining simple ways to apply it to your own marketing challenges. Shotton interviews some of the smartest and most influential thinkers in advertising, including Rory Sutherland, Lucy Jameson and Mark Earls. Covering everything from priming to the pratfall effect, charm pricing to the curse of knowledge, with The Choice Factory as your guide it has never been easier to apply the science of behavioural economics to marketing. 'Actionable, memorable and powerful' - Seth Godin, bestselling author of This is Marketing Now part of the Harriman House Essentials Collection, a series showcasing the very best of business and finance books.

Harriman House Essentials

The Choice Factory

A step-by-step guide to transforming data into stakeholder buy-in and decisive action Driving Buy-In, by data storytelling veteran Mico Yuk-who has trained over 20,000 data professionals at Fortune 500 companies including Shell, Nestlé, and Zoom-provides a practical guide for professionals who craft data visualizations and presentations that light a fire under decision-makers. It shows how to transform insights into real-world action. Eighty-eight percent of insights never influence a decision. This book fixes that. Yuk introduces the Buy-In Method(TM), a two-pillar system for turning information into action - grounded in behavioral science and neuroscience research. Pillar 1, the Data Storytelling Framework(TM) (Discover, Define, Design, and Deliver), turns data into a story the brain is wired to respond to. Pillar 2, the Three Signs of Influence (Clarity, Buy-In, and Action), reveals in real time whether your message is landing and exactly where stakeholders are in the decision process. Rather than focusing on technical skills or visual design, this book teaches the often-overlooked skill of reading human behavior. You'll learn: <ul> <li>How to ask the right questions that uncover the real problem - move beyond vague requests and endless scope creep to get to the truth</li> <li>How to transform the way you communicate with stakeholders or executives - translate and present technical findings so anyone can understand and act on them</li> <li>How to build stories that drive action - using the same structure behind Hollywood blockbusters</li> <li>How to read any room using the Three Signs of Influence (Clarity, Buy-In, Action) - no more guessing if stakeholders will act on your insights</li> <li>Why human influence is your competitive advantage - in the AI era, anyone can generate insights, but driving stakeholder buy-in is what makes you irreplaceable</li> </ul> This book is for professionals who present data to influence stakeholders and accelerate decisions: analysts, data scientists, BI teams, product managers, consultants, AI/ML professionals, and executives. It's an expert guide in data communication for professionals who want to know exactly what works, what doesn't, and how to design and deliver presentations that will get buy-in from the people who make decisions. Go from order-taker to decision driver.

The Science of Influence with Data

Driving Buy-In

A comprehensive look at causality’s theoretical and practical aspects in economics and finance. In Causal Modeling for Finance and Business, Frank Fabozzi and Sergio Focardi offer a foundation for understanding causal relationships and their importance in complex systems. Topics include the theory of graphs, probabilistic frameworks, structural causal models, algorithms for learning causal structures, and the empirical testing of these models. The book emphasizes applying and deploying causal models in real-world business and investment scenarios. However, it also offers a novel theoretical perspective on causal modeling. Fabozzi and Focardi argue that causation is not a law of nature, but a characteristic of causal systems. If we accept the modern idea of causation as manipulability, causal systems are characterized by causal relationships as well as purely descriptive functional relationships. With these arguments in mind, the book addresses a critical gap in understanding and applying causal reasoning in complex systems. While correlations have often been relied upon in data analysis, decision-making in business and economics demands a deeper understanding of causation and functional relationships to drive actionable outcomes. The book’s objective is to provide a comprehensive resource that bridges foundational theories and practical applications of causal models. By integrating recent advancements in artificial intelligence, probabilistic logic, and graph theory, the authors offer a robust framework for researchers, practitioners, and decision-makers to harness the power of causality in solving intricate problems.

A comprehensive look at causality’s theoretical and practical aspects in economics and finance. In Causal Modeling for Finance and Business, Frank Fabozzi and Sergio Focardi offer a foundation for understanding causal relationships and their importance in complex systems. Topics include the theory of graphs, probabilistic frameworks, structural causal models, algorithms for learning causal structures, and the empirical testing of these models. The book emphasizes applying and deploying causal models in real-world business and investment scenarios. However, it also offers a novel theoretical perspective on causal modeling. Fabozzi and Focardi argue that causation is not a law of nature, but a characteristic of causal systems. If we accept the modern idea of causation as manipulability, causal systems are characterized by causal relationships as well as purely descriptive functional relationships. With these arguments in mind, the book addresses a critical gap in understanding and applying causal reasoning in complex systems. While correlations have often been relied upon in data analysis, decision-making in business and economics demands a deeper understanding of causation and functional relationships to drive actionable outcomes. The book’s objective is to provide a comprehensive resource that bridges foundational theories and practical applications of causal models. By integrating recent advancements in artificial intelligence, probabilistic logic, and graph theory, the authors offer a robust framework for researchers, practitioners, and decision-makers to harness the power of causality in solving intricate problems.

Foundations, Frameworks, and Applications

Causal Modeling for Finance and Business

The PEMDAS of People

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