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Williams M: The PEMDAS of People

The PEMDAS of People

10 Little Vehicles

Fans of airplanes can count down from ten to one as they follow ten different planes soaring through the air. Ten little airplanes pass their preflight check. All clear to go—Yay! Time to start their trek. Get ready to fly! On each page of this sturdy, action-packed board book, young readers can count down their favorite airplanes from ten to one. Along the way, flight fans will spot a glider, a firefighting plane, a vintage Boeing Super Stearman, a sea plane, and many more. With noisy words on every page, this is the perfect book to read aloud with your little aviator.

Fans of airplanes can count down from ten to one as they follow ten different planes soaring through the air. Ten little airplanes pass their preflight check. All clear to go—Yay! Time to start their trek. Get ready to fly! On each page of this sturdy, action-packed board book, young readers can count down their favorite airplanes from ten to one. Along the way, flight fans will spot a glider, a firefighting plane, a vintage Boeing Super Stearman, a sea plane, and many more. With noisy words on every page, this is the perfect book to read aloud with your little aviator.

10 Little Airplanes

A rigorous, cutting-edge overview of the range of methods used to conduct causal inference in the social sciences. This textbook provides a lucid, rigorous, and cutting-edge overview of the methods used to conduct causal inference in the social sciences, covering all the core techniques and latest advances. Offering a detailed survey of the current state of microeconometric theory, Damian Clarke delves deeply into machine learning applications and presents developments in difference-in-difference methods, instrumental variables, multiple hypothesis testing, and other advanced topics. With a diverse range of examples and exercises offering hands-on experience, Applied Microeconometrics equips graduate students and researchers to apply state-of-the art scholarship to actionable problems. <ul><li>Integrates a rich array of machine learning methods into causal modeling frameworks</li><li>Covers recent advances in difference-in-differences and dynamic research designs, formal discussions of challenges related to inference and hypothesis testing, and heterogeneity analysis</li><li>Features a breadth of real-world examples from recent papers</li><li>Includes coding implementation in Python, R, and Stata</li></ul>

A rigorous, cutting-edge overview of the range of methods used to conduct causal inference in the social sciences. This textbook provides a lucid, rigorous, and cutting-edge overview of the methods used to conduct causal inference in the social sciences, covering all the core techniques and latest advances. Offering a detailed survey of the current state of microeconometric theory, Damian Clarke delves deeply into machine learning applications and presents developments in difference-in-difference methods, instrumental variables, multiple hypothesis testing, and other advanced topics. With a diverse range of examples and exercises offering hands-on experience, Applied Microeconometrics equips graduate students and researchers to apply state-of-the art scholarship to actionable problems. <ul><li>Integrates a rich array of machine learning methods into causal modeling frameworks</li><li>Covers recent advances in difference-in-differences and dynamic research designs, formal discussions of challenges related to inference and hypothesis testing, and heterogeneity analysis</li><li>Features a breadth of real-world examples from recent papers</li><li>Includes coding implementation in Python, R, and Stata</li></ul>

Applied Microeconometrics

There is a leadership skill no one taught you--yet it determines the quality of every decision you make.Leaders are trained to have answers, drive alignment, and persuade others to move forward. But in today's environment, those scripts are persistently working against them. The more leaders push their message, the less progress they actually make. The result: missed signals, shallow alignment, and decisions made without the full picture.The leaders who outperform are not the most persuasive. Instead, they are the ones who know how to discover what others don't yet know how to say.In Winning Without Persuading, Esther Choy--founder of the Leadership Story Lab--offers a radically different approach to leadership: one built on curiosity, story discovery, and the ability to uncover the hidden information that drives better decisions, stronger trust, and lasting change.The real leadership power lies in learning how to find the stories that change everything.Through her T² principle--Transaction × Transformation--Choy shows how every interaction can achieve immediate outcomes while also reshaping how people think, contribute, and lead.You'll learn how to: <ul><li>Make better decisions by uncovering what your team isn't saying--before it's too late</li><li>Use curiosity to access insights, risks, and opportunities that persuasion alone will not reveal</li><li>Create interpersonal connections that enable people to feel seen, speak up, and stay--strengthening engagement, retention, and team performance</li><li>Ask the questions that surface original, high-value thinking--not rehashed answers</li><li>Lead with clarity, human insight, and authentic voice in an age where AI can generate answers--but not understanding</li></ul> In a world where everyone is talking, the leaders who stand out are the ones who know how to see, hear, and uncover what others miss.

Are you a sage on the stage---or a guide on the side?  Good leaders are one. Great leaders are both.

A New Framework for Leading with Curiosity and Story Discovery

Winning Without Persuading

Jane Austens erster Roman "Sinn und Sinnlichkeit" (auch: "Verstand und Gefühl") 2026 neu im Kino und hier mit 5 weiteren Bänden im Schuber Dieser außergewöhnliche Geschenk-Schuber beinhaltet die großen Romane von Jane Austen: Verstand und Gefühl (1811), Stolz und Vorurteil (1813), Mansfield Park (1814), Emma (1816), Northanger Abbey (posthum 1818), und Überredung (posthum 1818). Jane Austens Romane begeistern bis heute Millionen von Lesern durch ihre glanzvolle Sprache, den wunderbaren Witz der Dialoge, die scharfsinnigen Beobachtungsgabe und eine gute Prise Gesellschaftskritik. <ul><li>'William Shakespeare wird abgöttisch verehrt, Daniel Defoe und Jonathan Swift kennen auch die Kinder, Laurence Sterne nur die Kenner, Oscar Wilde die Liebhaber funkelnder Wortkunst. Doch eine gibt es, die von allen geliebt wird: Jane Austen.' Die Presse</li><li>'Mit scharfem Blick analysierte Jane Austen die bürgerliche Gesellschaft ihrer Zeit, vor allem die Lage der Frauen.' Deutschlandfunk </li></ul>

Jane Austens erster Roman "Sinn und Sinnlichkeit" (auch: "Verstand und Gefühl") 2026 neu im Kino und hier mit 5 weiteren Bänden im Schuber 
 Dieser außergewöhnliche Geschenk-Schuber beinhaltet die großen Romane von Jane Austen: Verstand und Gefühl (1811), Stolz und Vorurteil (1813), Mansfield Park (1814), Emma (1816), Northanger Abbey (posthum 1818), und Überredung (posthum 1818). Jane Austens Romane begeistern bis heute Millionen von Lesern durch ihre glanzvolle Sprache, den wunderbaren Witz der Dialoge, die scharfsinnigen Beobachtungsgabe und eine gute Prise Gesellschaftskritik.
 <ul><li>»William Shakespeare wird abgöttisch verehrt, Daniel Defoe und Jonathan Swift kennen auch die Kinder, Laurence Sterne nur die Kenner, Oscar Wilde die Liebhaber funkelnder Wortkunst. Doch eine gibt es, die von allen geliebt wird: Jane Austen.« Die Presse</li><li>»Mit scharfem Blick analysierte Jane Austen die bürgerliche Gesellschaft ihrer Zeit, vor allem die Lage der Frauen.« Deutschlandfunk </li></ul>

Verstand und Gefühl - Stolz und Vorurteil - Mansfield Park - Emma - Northanger Abbey - Überredung (6 Bände im Schuber)

Jane Austen, Die großen Romane

The comprehensively updated new edition of a bestselling textbook that covers fundamental features of bonds, analytical techniques, and portfolio strategies. Now in its 11th edition, this bestselling textbook illuminates the complexities and dynamics of the bond markets, integrating rigorous technical content with real-world case studies to effectively bridge theory and application. Advances in technology and data availability have fundamentally transformed how fixed-income securities are valued, traded, and managed. This fully updated new edition addresses the growing demand for tools and techniques that support sophisticated decision-making in increasingly complex markets by incorporating the latest analytical frameworks and computational methods with a solid grounding in core principles. Designed for a broad audience, it gives students the fundamental knowledge they need to excel in portfolio management, trading, and risk analysis roles while equipping experienced practitioners with more profound insights into advanced strategies and contemporary challenges. New edition highlights: <ul><li>New chapters on analytical tools, bond trading mechanics, strategies, and backtesting</li><li>Cutting-edge topics include machine learning, NLP, and trading mechanics</li><li>Expanded coverage of corporate bond credit models, return attribution models, and the latest models analyzing convertible bonds</li><li>Extensive new appendices feature case studies from diverse practitioners</li><li>Pragmatic modular structuring adapts to diverse course designs</li><li>End-of-chapter internet questions, slides, and solutions</li></ul>

The comprehensively updated new edition of a bestselling textbook that covers fundamental features of bonds, analytical techniques, and portfolio strategies. Now in its 11th edition, this bestselling textbook illuminates the complexities and dynamics of the bond markets, integrating rigorous technical content with real-world case studies to effectively bridge theory and application. Advances in technology and data availability have fundamentally transformed how fixed-income securities are valued, traded, and managed. This fully updated new edition addresses the growing demand for tools and techniques that support sophisticated decision-making in increasingly complex markets by incorporating the latest analytical frameworks and computational methods with a solid grounding in core principles. Designed for a broad audience, it gives students the fundamental knowledge they need to excel in portfolio management, trading, and risk analysis roles while equipping experienced practitioners with more profound insights into advanced strategies and contemporary challenges. New edition highlights: <ul><li>New chapters on analytical tools, bond trading mechanics, strategies, and backtesting</li><li>Cutting-edge topics include machine learning, NLP, and trading mechanics</li><li>Expanded coverage of corporate bond credit models, return attribution models, and the latest models analyzing convertible bonds</li><li>Extensive new appendices feature case studies from diverse practitioners</li><li>Pragmatic modular structuring adapts to diverse course designs</li><li>End-of-chapter internet questions, slides, and solutions</li></ul>

Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, eleventh edition

AI can write the code. You still need to know what it does. You’re already good at Excel. But you’re tired of the copy/paste, the helper columns, and the brittle formulas that break when someone adds a row. You want automation, and whether you write the code yourself or let AI generate it, you need to understand what’s actually running your business processes. Automate Excel with Python teaches you to build real workflows, step-by-step. You’ll read messy workbooks into pandas dataframes, filter and reshape data without helper columns, merge sources without silent VLOOKUP failures, and export polished results with formatting intact. A capstone chapter ties it together: import a multi-tab workbook, generate exception reports, and email the results—all from one script you run with a single click. You’ll learn how to: <ul><li>Read existing Excel files you already use into Python, even the messy ones</li><li>Replace daily copy/paste routines with reusable scripts</li><li>Merge and match data across sources with auditable results</li><li>Handle dates, times, and the edge cases that break formulas</li><li>Export from Python to Excel with column widths, number formats, and frozen panes intact</li><li>Build workflows that run daily without babysitting</li></ul> AI can write the code. This book makes sure you’re the one in control of it.

This practical guide will help spreadsheet pros save time and boost productivity using beginner Python tools – without having to become a programmer. Automate Excel with Python bridges the gap between Excel expertise and Python programming without forcing you to start from scratch. Unlike other programming guides, it’s specifically designed for Excel users who need more power and automation, not for professional programmers. This book focuses on enhancing your existing Excel skills rather than replacing them. You’ll learn how Python’s dataframes work like virtual spreadsheets, extending what you already know while automating repetitive tasks. You’ll be able to import and export data seamlessly between Excel and Python to integrate coding into your current workflow. Concise, practical examples throughout will get you up and running quickly. Each topic addresses real problems Excel users face, with solutions you can implement immediately. The structure is deliberately flexible. Chapters progress logically but stand independently, so you can jump to exactly what you need without reading everything that came before. This makes it perfect for solving urgent problems or learning at your own pace. You’ll apply the techniques you learn to automate reports, clean messy data, perform complex calculations, and handle large datasets that would overwhelm Excel alone—all while leveraging your existing spreadsheet knowledge.

A Practical Guide for Nonprogrammers

Automate Excel with Python

Truer now than when it was written—the prophetic classic now back in print. Twenty-six years after its original publication, Borsook’s “smart, funny and irreverent” (The New York Times) critique of high-tech has proved a prescient assessment of a toxic ethos which has seeped into every corner of our world. Cyberselfish saw the warning signs about a culture violently lacking in compassion, tremendously opposed to regulation, more comfortable with computers than people, and surprisingly ignorant. An ironic position, given this cohort was perhaps the single biggest recipient of the greatest government subsidy of technology and expansion in history. But it is also a culture that believes in Ayn Rand and the stockholder theory of value and acts as if privacy isn't for the Little People. Borsook foresaw that once tech boomed to new heights of financial success, those at the helm would feel their achievement in one sphere should result in greater power and influence in others. Today, as titans of the tech world have inserted themselves even further into all aspects of society, Borsook’s insights have become more universally applicable than even she could have imagined. But what will result if the people who shape public policy know nothing about history or political science or, most importantly, how to interact with other humans? Cyberselfish posits this is the true revenge of the nerds.

Truer now than when it was written—the prophetic classic now back in print. Twenty-six years after its original publication, Borsook’s “smart, funny and irreverent” (The New York Times) critique of high-tech has proved a prescient assessment of a toxic ethos which has seeped into every corner of our world. Cyberselfish saw the warning signs about a culture violently lacking in compassion, tremendously opposed to regulation, more comfortable with computers than people, and surprisingly ignorant. An ironic position, given this cohort was perhaps the single biggest recipient of the greatest government subsidy of technology and expansion in history. But it is also a culture that believes in Ayn Rand and the stockholder theory of value and acts as if privacy isn't for the Little People. Borsook foresaw that once tech boomed to new heights of financial success, those at the helm would feel their achievement in one sphere should result in greater power and influence in others. Today, as titans of the tech world have inserted themselves even further into all aspects of society, Borsook’s insights have become more universally applicable than even she could have imagined. But what will result if the people who shape public policy know nothing about history or political science or, most importantly, how to interact with other humans? Cyberselfish posits this is the true revenge of the nerds.

A Critical Romp through the Terribly Libertarian Culture of High Tech

Cyberselfish

This book presents a comprehensive approach for designing messages to influence beliefs, attitudes, intentions, and behaviors. It is ideal for social science researchers and practitioners who design campaigns and interventions to promote behavior change.

Persuasive Message Design

Join Blue Owl as he searches for his friends in this bright, interactive counting book for children ages 2-5, which includes concentric shapes, peek-through pages, and a fun rhyming story. Previously published by Tiger Tales under the same name and features high-contrast, bright neon Pantone colors! How many owls can you find in this playful book of numbers? Learn to count to five with Blue Owl as he searches for his friends. This adorable book with sturdy board pages features bright artwork, peek-through pages, and a fun rhyming story. This book was previously published by Tiger Tales under the same name, but this updated edition features high-contrast, bright neon Pantone colors! Discover a whole world of learning fun with titles from the cheerful and interactive My Little World series. From colors and counting to opposites and first words, key early-learning concepts are presented in a bright, bold, engaging manner.

A Bright Book of Numbers!

Hoot!

How to move beyond guessing about manager skill with decision-based analytics, not the outcome-based analytics used at present. Skill is the raison d’être for active equity management. Yet precious little is known about manager skill. What is skill? Who has it? How should it be measured? Is a manager’s skill improving, declining, or remaining consistent? Without answers to such fundamental questions, capital allocators have no choice but to rely on inferences, hunches, and guesswork. In Skill Versus Luck, Michael Ervolini explains how to move beyond skill fog with newer analytics developed over the past decade. Unlike conventional analytics that simply rehash fund outcomes, the newer cause-and-effect analytics relate a manager’s decisions to fund excess returns, providing rigorous measures of manager skill. Results from these newer analytics enable capital allocators to understand manager skill for the first time and make more effective allocation decisions.

How to move beyond guessing about manager skill with decision-based analytics, not the outcome-based analytics used at present. Skill is the raison d’être for active equity management. Yet precious little is known about manager skill. What is skill? Who has it? How should it be measured? Is a manager’s skill improving, declining, or remaining consistent? Without answers to such fundamental questions, capital allocators have no choice but to rely on inferences, hunches, and guesswork. In Skill Versus Luck, Michael Ervolini explains how to move beyond skill fog with newer analytics developed over the past decade. Unlike conventional analytics that simply rehash fund outcomes, the newer cause-and-effect analytics relate a manager’s decisions to fund excess returns, providing rigorous measures of manager skill. Results from these newer analytics enable capital allocators to understand manager skill for the first time and make more effective allocation decisions.

Taking the Guessing Out of Equity Fund Selection

Skill Versus Luck

Years of experience as a magician taught Tim David that real magic is all about words, and the way they influence the minds of the audience. What sets a professional magician apart from an amateur are people skills like communication, influence, and engagement--skills that are also effective in the workplace. By applying seven "magic" words in a business setting, David offers tools for effective and persuasive communication. You will learn: <ul><li> The secret word that Harvard psychologists discovered is the key to unlocking human motivation</li><li> How one very special word (spoken only inside your mind) mysteriously has a profound positive impact on those around you</li><li> The number one mistake that managers make during 1-on-1's, and the one simple word that can fix it all</li><li> What Dale Carnegie dubs "the sweetest sound in any language"</li><li> How one tiny word can instantly change someone's mind for the better</li><li> The single word that an in-depth study of thousands of hours of call center recordings revealed as the quickest way to reduce differences and calm people down</li><li> How the infamous "But Eraser" works and why so many people mess it up</li><li> The REAL magic behind the word "thanks"</li></ul> The seven words: Magic Word #1 - Because Magic Word #2 - "Name" Magic Word #3 - If Magic Word #4 - But Magic Word #5 - Absolutely Magic Word #6 - Thanks Magic Word #7 - Help

The Science and Secrets Behind Seven Words That Motivate, Engage, and Influence

Magic Words

Fans of monster trucks can count down from ten to one as they follow ten different crunching, munching, roaring trucks! Ten little monster trucks geared up for a show. Crowd gives a cheer—Roar! Ready, set . . . go! Get ready to rumble! On each page of this sturdy, action-packed board book, young readers can count down their favorite monster trucks from ten to one. Truck lovers will spot a shark truck, a school bus truck, even a unicorn truck, all performing stunts as they race around the arena. With noisy words on every page, this is the perfect book to read aloud—REALLY LOUD!—with your little monster truck fan.

10 Little Monster Trucks

The PEMDAS of People

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