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Gianluca Sidoti

Investing Against Instinct

The Science and Psychology of Building Lasting Wealth

Investor behavior, shaped by cognitive and emotional biases, significantly impacts the dynamics of financial markets, often leading to deviations from traditional theories of market efficiency and rational decision-making. As markets are increasingly driven by human psychology rather than purely economic fundamentals, understanding these biases is crucial for explaining anomalies. Recognizing the influence of investor sentiment and behavioral patterns can provide valuable insights for improving investment strategies, risk management, and financial policymaking. By addressing the psychological factors that drive investor decisions, we can better understand the complexities of market behavior and work toward creating more resilient and stable financial systems. Unveiling Investor Biases That Shape Market Dynamics explores the psychological underpinnings of investor behavior and their implications for financial markets. By integrating empirical research with theoretical insights, this volume provides a comprehensive understanding of how cognitive, emotional, and social biases manifest in investment decisions and contribute to market inefficiencies. Covering topics such as accounting, investment strategy, and social media influence, this book is an excellent resource for researchers, doctoral students, academicians, portfolio managers, financial analysts, policymakers, and more.

Unveiling Investor Biases That Shape Market Dynamics

Economics and Finance (R0)

&lt;p&gt;This book introduces a state-of-art approach in evaluating portfolio management and risk based on artificial intelligence and alternative data. The book covers a textual analysis of news and social media, information extraction from GPS and IoTs data, and risk predictions based on small transaction data, etc. The book summarizes and introduces the advancement in each area and highlights the machine learning and deep learning techniques utilized to achieve the goals. As a complement, it also illustrates examples on how to leverage the python package to visualize and analyze the alternative datasets, and will be of interest to academics, researchers, and students of risk evaluation, risk management, data, AI, and financial innovation.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

Qingquan Tony Zhang

Beibei Li

Danxia Xie

Applications in Investment and Risk Management

Alternative Data and Artificial Intelligence Techniques

Geopolitical realignment, climate disruption, demographic shifts, and technological transformation present risks with no historical precedent. Pension systems are breaking under the weight of aging populations. Semiconductor production concentrates in a single geopolitical flashpoint. AI is reshaping everything from energy demand to the future of work to the waging of war.&nbsp;
These are not future risks. They exist now. Yet our current approaches toward risk cannot see them, leaving institutions exposed when these transformations strike.&nbsp;
This open access book presents a fundamental reimagining of how we manage risk. It demonstrates that material risks cannot be reduced to statistics or confined to financial markets. They are rooted in the physical world: supply chains, demographic realities, geography, and human behavior.&nbsp;
The transformation occurs across five dimensions:&nbsp;
Financial to Physical
Material constraints drive markets, not the reverse.&nbsp;
Statistical to Structural
Dependencies matter more than correlations.&nbsp;
Static to Dynamic
Systems adapt as participants respond to them.&nbsp;
Mechanical to Human
Interpretation, reflexivity, and contingency shape outcomes.&nbsp;
Numbers to Narratives
Decisions happen in conversations, not spreadsheets.&nbsp;
Essential reading for chief risk officers, asset owners and allocators, policymakers and anyone responsible for navigating risks that are reshaping economies and societies.

Geopolitical realignment, climate disruption, demographic shifts, and technological transformation present risks with no historical precedent. Pension systems are breaking under the weight of aging populations. Semiconductor production concentrates in a single geopolitical flashpoint. AI is reshaping everything from energy demand to the future of work to the waging of war.These are not future risks. They exist now. Yet traditional models cannot see them; historical market returns offer no guidance. Worse, they create false confidence that leaves institutions exposed when transformation strikes.This open access book presents a re-conception of how we think about and manage risk. Drawing on the author's experience as chief risk officer at major financial institutions, it demonstrates that risk cannot be reduced to statistics or confined to financial markets. It emerges from physical structure and unfolds through dynamics that cannot be reduced to equations.The transformation occurs across five dimensions:
 Financial → Physical
 
 Material constraints drive markets, not the reverse.
 
 Statistical → Structural
 
 Dependencies matter more than correlations.
 
 Static → Dynamic
 
 Systems adapt as participants respond to them.
 
 Mechanical → Human
 
 Interpretation, reflexivity, and contingency shape outcomes.
 
 Numbers → Narratives
 
 Decisions happen in conversations, not spreadsheets.
 Simple, adaptive rules outperform sophisticated optimization. Narrative reasoning—whether through discussion, scenario analysis, or tools like large language models—produces more actionable intelligence than mathematical models when confronting unprecedented change.This book is essential reading for chief risk officers, asset allocators, family offices, policymakers and anyone responsible for navigating risks that are reshaping economies and societies.

Decisions in the Face of Material Events

A Risk Manifesto

Praise for SO YOU WANT TO START A HEDGE FUND "So You Want To Start A Hedge Fund offers a very high insights-gleaned to time-spent ratio. If you have any desire whatsoever to start your own fund, read this book. If you have any desire to invest in hedge funds whatsoever, read this book. Given the high stakes involved in the industry, it's probably not hyperbolic to say that the lessons learned could potentially help make (or save) millions." --MarketFolly.com "I strongly recommend this superb book for anyone who is interested in starting a hedge fund, investing in one, or is already in the business. One can learn an enormous amount from Ted's experience analyzing hundreds of start-up funds and from the many case studies he shares in the book." --William A. Ackman, CEO, Pershing Square Capital "Part technical manual, part detailed chronicle of modern money management history, and part personal reflections from the investing world front lines, So You Want to Start a Hedge Fund is a must read for allocators, industry veterans, aspiring managers, and everyday investors. Ted Seides has crafted a definitive guide to one of the 21st century's most dynamic and opaque industries." --Scott Bessent, Former CIO, Soros Fund Management, and Founder and CIO, Key Square Group "Launching a new hedge fund in this hyper-competitive era is a difficult journey riddled with many landmines. Unfortunately, many of these landmines are counterintuitive and cannot be easily avoided. As a seasoned allocator to emerging managers and hedge funds, Ted has seen it all--the good, the bad and the ugly. His book is a treasure trove of wisdom for managers and allocators with many digestible, real-life lessons and vignettes to aid not only in avoiding the landmines, but also in how to thrive. This is must reading for anyone looking to build a fund or allocate to newer ones." --Jason H. Karp, Founder and CEO, Tourbillon Capital Partners "Through an engaging set of lenses, this short book captures the key issues firms and allocators face in creating and managing their organizations and businesses. It's about leadership, organizational design, marketing, and client relations. It's about talent spotting and management. It's about the essence of the industry. The case study format and clear takeaways make this book an easy read. Hedge fund managers who heed Ted's advice will create better and longer lasting firms; allocators will become better investors." --Andre F. Perold, Founder and CIO, HighVista Strategies, and George Gund Professor of Finance and Banking, Emeritus, Harvard Business School "A must read. Ted does an outstanding job explaining in clear language how to stay ahead of the curve in today's hyper-competitive golden age of hedge funds. I wish I had access to this book when I started allocating capital." --Anthony Scaramucci, Founder and Co-Managing Partner, Skybridge Capital, and host of Wall Street Week

Lessons for Managers and Allocators

So You Want to Start a Hedge Fund

The Notion of the Intelligent Investor addresses the critical domain of financial investment, a field essential for individual wealth accumulation and economic stability. Navigating volatile markets, distinguishing genuine investment from speculative ventures, and mitigating the erosive effects of inflation present significant challenges for both novice and experienced participants. Understanding the foundational principles and historical context of market behavior is paramount for sound financial decision-making.

This comprehensive volume systematically explores core investment concepts, from establishing general portfolio policies for defensive and enterprising investors to detailed strategies for common stock selection. It delves into security analysis, valuation techniques, and the nuances of advanced investment instruments. Furthermore, the book examines the impact of market fluctuations, the role of investment funds, and the importance of corporate governance and the margin of safety principle.

This book is an indispensable resource for students, financial professionals, and individual investors seeking to cultivate a disciplined and informed approach to the financial markets.

The Notion of the Intelligent Investor

The Morningstar Approach to Stock Investing

Why Moats Matter

Contributions to Management Science

Family businesses are a cornerstone of economies worldwide, yet systematic research on governance, succession, and strategy has only recently gained momentum. This book brings together candid reflections from some of the most influential pioneers in the field—scholars, advisors, educators, and systemic therapists—who have shaped family business studies and practice. Through insightful interviews, they share their personal journeys, the evolution of key concepts, and best practices for addressing complex family and strategic challenges.
Readers gain access to a global repository of experiences, cultural perspectives, and multi-generational wisdom, offering practical guidance for advising, teaching, and managing family enterprises. Whether you are a practitioner, a family business owner, or a scholar, this volume is an indispensable resource for understanding the intricate dynamics of family-owned firms and the careers dedicated to supporting them.

Family businesses are a cornerstone of economies worldwide, yet systematic research on governance, succession, and strategy has only recently gained momentum. This book brings together candid reflections from some of the most influential pioneers in the field—scholars, advisors, educators, and systemic therapists—who have shaped family business studies and practice. Through insightful interviews, they share their personal journeys, the evolution of key concepts, and best practices for addressing complex family and strategic challenges.Readers gain access to a global repository of experiences, cultural perspectives, and multi-generational wisdom, offering practical guidance for advising, teaching, and managing family enterprises. Whether you are a practitioner, a family business owner, or a scholar, this volume is an indispensable resource for understanding the intricate dynamics of family-owned firms and the careers dedicated to supporting them.

Shaping Knowledge, Practice and Care

Trailblazers of Family Business Research and Learning

Wiley Finance

PRAISE FOR THE BUSINESS OF VENTURE CAPITAL "This book is an excellent starting point for anyone looking to build real foundational knowledge in venture capital and startups. The authors explain core ideas with clarity, depth, and practicality, giving readers a framework they can carry forward as they deepen their understanding. A highly valuable guide for those who want to learn the fundamentals the right way." -Stephen West, Partner, StepStone Group, a private markets investment firm with over $200 billion in assets under management (AUM) "Having backed hundreds of managers, we know that successful ones share a common trait: they understand the full picture and adapt with speed. Mahendra and Tim bring their hands-on experience as well as insights from the best investors to help understand the LP mindset, and the art of managing funds. For any manager seeking to build an institution, not just a fund, this is a must-read." -David York, Chairman, Top Tier Capital Partners, a Fund-of-Funds with $8 billion in assets, and over 350 fund investments "An indispensable guide that pulls back the curtain on the venture capital industry. Mahendra and Tim provide the transparency and tactical depth that both emerging managers and established LPs need to succeed in today's market." -Beezer Clarkson, Sapphire Partners, a Fund-of-Funds with over $1 billion committed across more than 200 emerging and established venture funds "Most venture books polish the myth. This one reveals the machinery: how capital actually meets ideas and flourishes. It's a clear-eyed guide for those who want to engage, not admire. For the next generation of managers, this is required reading." -Chris Douvos, Founder of Ahoy Capital, a Silicon Valley-based Fund-of-Funds "Venture capital fuels global innovation and economic growth. This book delivers a clear, practical roadmap for founders and investors navigating the forces shaping the high-stakes world of private markets." -Bobby Franklin, President and CEO of the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) "A masterful synthesis of how venture capital functions. I highly recommend this book for students and practitioners alike who want to master the world of startups and venture capital." -Ilya Strebulaev, Professor of Finance at Stanford Graduate School of Business and co-author of The Venture Mindset: How to Make Smarter Bets and Achieve Extraordinary Growth "Demystifying the venture capital industry is key to its future. This book strips away the noise and provides the rigorous, modern framework that today's most ambitious new managers need to succeed." -Maryam Haque, Executive Director of Venture Forward, a nonprofit arm of the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) that aims to diversify the venture capital industry through education, research, and community-building programs

Building a Venture Firm, Investing in Startups, and Driving Returns

The Business of Venture Capital

Studies in International Political Economy

<div>“Standing Guard is a superb study of the rules and practices devised by capital-exporting countries and multinational enterprises to protect foreign investments. In this theoretically sophisticated and historically rich book, Charles Lipson demonstrates the significance of norms, rules, and institutions in what is often misleadingly characterized as ‘international anarchy.’ . . . Standing Guard constitutes an exemplary analysis of how both to analyze the evolution of international regimes and to link the study of regimes to that of foreign policy.”—Robert O. Keohane</div>

Foreign investors are drawn abroad by the lure of profits, but they also face significant risks. Standing Guard examines how investors coped with these risks and protected their capital abroad in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. &nbsp; Toward the end of the twentieth century, less-developed countries, determined to control their own economic development, nationalized their most lucrative oil fields and mineral concessions and regulated all forms of foreign investment. While some firms were hard hit, many others adapted profitably to this new political environment. They rearranged their assets for self-protection and took full advantage of the tax breaks, low wages, and other incentives that attract capital to less-developed countries. At stake were not only corporate profits but also the character of national economic development and the global pattern of property rights. &nbsp; Charles Lispon traces these evolving issues from the days of gunboat diplomacy to modern corporate negotiations, showing how investors have tried to minimize their vulnerability to economic nationalism. Standing Guard analyzes the shifting corporate strategies and shows how they have affected U.S. foreign policy, providing a thorough, clearly reasoned, and insightful analysis of the long-term changes in investment security. &nbsp; <div>&nbsp;</div><div>This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1985.</div>

Protecting Foreign Capital in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries

Standing Guard: Volume 11

Identify strategic bottlenecks that concentrate wealth and learn to invest in them&nbsp; Choke Points: Investing in the Origins of Wealth, by Barron's Hall of Fame advisor Dryden Pence, reveals how great fortunes arise from controlling strategic bottlenecks where economic activity must flow. Drawing on three decades managing institutional capital and a decorated military intelligence career, Col. Pence translates elite investment philosophy into a narrative-driven framework that teaches ordinary investors to recognize pricing power before it becomes obvious.&nbsp; Built around the registered PENCE Choke Point framework, the book uses case studies spanning Rockefeller's railroad rebates, Apple's App Store, NVIDIA's AI infrastructure grip, and a four-company jet engine oligopoly to reveal how structural advantages create durable wealth. Readers learn to&nbsp;identify&nbsp;persistent margins, limited alternatives, controlled access, and unwavering demand, the characteristics that separate companies worth owning from the rest.&nbsp; Readers will also find:&nbsp; <ul> <li>A tested method for recognizing where money concentrates, drawn from institutional investment strategies rarely made accessible to individual investors&nbsp;</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Real-world stories showing how founders from Standard Oil to pharmaceutical dynasties identified and controlled strategic commercial bottlenecks&nbsp;</li> </ul> <ul> <li>A framework for distinguishing companies with durable pricing power from those lacking structural advantages in their markets&nbsp;</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Pattern recognition techniques adapted from military intelligence analysis, applied to reading the economic landscape for constraint and opportunity&nbsp;</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Guidance&nbsp;on&nbsp;participating&nbsp;in choke point economics through equity ownership without needing to build or manage businesses yourself&nbsp;</li> </ul> Choke Points&nbsp;is written for retail investors, high earners not yet rich, registered investment advisors, and financial advisors seeking a structural framework for wealth-building. It serves anyone who has followed conventional advice and wants a tested lens for&nbsp;identifying&nbsp;where real pricing power&nbsp;resides.&nbsp;

Choke Point Investing

In Secure Retirement with Dividend Growth: A New Strategy, author Jim Stephens unveils a time-tested investment strategy designed to secure your retirement with confidence. This comprehensive guide introduces the principles of dividend growth investing, focusing on high-quality companies with strong brands, low debt, predictable earning growth, and solid fundamentals. By harnessing the power of growing dividend yields, this approach minimizes risk and ensures a steady stream of income to fund your retirement living expenses. With insights drawn from historical dividend trends and practical portfolio construction methods, Stephens provides readers with a straightforward and effective strategy for building wealth and achieving financial security. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, this book is your roadmap to a secure and prosperous retirement.

A New Strategy

Secure Retirement with Dividend Growth

75th Anniversary EditionThe classic work on investing, filled with sound and safe principles that are as reliable as ever, now revised with an introduction and appendix by financial legend Warren Buffett—one of the author’s most famous students—and newly updated commentaries on each chapter from distinguished Wall Street Journal writer Jason Zweig.“By far the best book about investing ever written.”—Warren BuffettSince its original publication in 1949, Benjamin Graham’s revered classic, The Intelligent Investor, has taught and inspired millions of people worldwide and remains the most respected guide to investing. Graham’s timeless philosophy of “value investing” helps protect investors against common mistakes and teaches them to develop sensible strategies that will serve them throughout their lifetime.Market developments over the past seven decades have borne out the wisdom of Graham’s basic policies, and in today’s volatile market, The Intelligent Investor remains essential. It is the most important book you will ever read on making the right decisions to protect your investments and make them grow.Featuring updated commentaries which accompany every chapter of Graham’s book—leaving his original text untouched—from noted financial journalist Jason Zweig, this newly revised edition offers readers an even clearer understanding of Graham’s wisdom and how it should be applied by investors today.

75th Anniversary EditionThe classic work on investing, filled with sound and safe principles that are as reliable as ever, now revised with an introduction and appendix by financial legend Warren Buffett—one of the author’s most famous students—and newly updated commentaries on each chapter from distinguished Wall Street Journal writer Jason Zweig.“By far the best book about investing ever written.”—Warren BuffettSince its original publication in 1949, Benjamin Graham’s revered classic, The Intelligent Investor, has taught and inspired millions of people worldwide and remains the most respected guide to investing. Graham’s timeless philosophy of “value investing” helps protect investors against common mistakes and teaches them to develop sensible strategies that will serve them throughout their lifetime.Market developments over the past seven decades have borne out the wisdom of Graham’s basic policies, and in today’s volatile market, The Intelligent Investor remains essential. It is the most important book you will ever read on making the right decisions to protect your investments and make them grow.Featuring updated commentaries which accompany every chapter of Graham’s book—leaving his original text untouched—from noted financial journalist Jason Zweig, this newly revised edition offers readers an even clearer understanding of Graham’s wisdom and how it should be applied by investors today.

The Definitive Book on Value Investing

The Intelligent Investor Third Edition

Investing Against Instinct

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