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Analyzing the Nexus of Big Data and
International Trade

Analyzing the Nexus of Big Data and International Trade

International Series in Operations Research & Management Science

This book presents a rigorous, practitioner-ready framework for determining when interventional causal claims can be validly drawn from observational data. By integrating potential outcomes (PO), structural causal models (SCMs), directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), quasi-experimental and longitudinal designs, information-theoretic approaches, and modern machine-learning methods with decision-analytic principles, it identifies necessary conditions for each step of the causal inference process, from defining estimands and identifying causal effects to study design, measurement, estimation, interpretation, robustness, and external validity. The framework is operationalized through practical checklists, tables, diagnostic and falsification tests, and AI-assisted tools, making it accessible across fields such as epidemiology, environmental and occupational health, and regulatory risk analysis. Designed to meet the needs of professionals making high-stakes decisions based on nonexperimental data, the book addresses the lack of clear, testable criteria for credible causal inference. Real-world examples throughout the book illustrate diagnostics, falsification tests, and robustness checks, linking evidence directly to decision-making. Bridging multiple causal frameworks and modern machine-learning methods, it equips readers to assess when data support cause-and-effect conclusions, supporting more responsible, evidence-based policy and risk management.The book offers health risk analysts, epidemiologists, and policy professionals a practical guide to valid causal inference from observational data. It is also ideal for graduate students and workshop participants in data science, decision analysis, risk analysis, and AI/ML applications.

Valid Causal Inference from Observational Data

The pocket MBA for entrepreneurial moms and women of color&nbsp;who want to build a business from scratch, overcome financial obstacles, and shift the trajectory of their life, from a globally recognized entrepreneur, business coach, and digital educator. While starting a new business is hard for everyone—half close their doors within the first five years—it’s even harder for female entrepreneurs. Ellie Diop, founder and CEO of Ellievated Academy, Fully Funded Co., and Mommy to Millionaire, intimately knows the barriers that historically have kept women from economic freedom. She also knows how to overcome them.&nbsp; From starting her business with a single $1,200 stimulus check in 2020, to becoming a self-made millionaire in her very first year, Ellie has mastered the art of life changing entrepreneurial success—and now, with Girl, Start that Business!, she’s ready to share those secrets.&nbsp; The strategies within these pages are battle tested: Ellie has turned thousands of her clients into profitable business owners. And she’s done so by meeting them where they are. Ellie knows many women are starting from zero—no money, no business plan, no customers. What they do have is a great idea, hustle, heart, and street savvy. This non-judgmental, sassy, and whip-smart pocket MBA is what female entrepreneurs need to turn their dreams into life-changing reality.&nbsp; Let’s go, girl, start that business today!

The Foolproof Plan to Turn Your Idea into Income and Change Your Life

Girl, Start That Business!

Contributions to Management Science

This edited volume explores how managerial perspectives can shape meaningful and satisfying organizational experiences in the context of evolving structures and sustainability challenges. While management research often draws on organizational theories such as institutional or agency theory, the exchange between organization studies and sustainability remains limited. This book bridges that gap by using sustainability as a critical lens through which to understand organizational behavior, legitimacy, and long-term strategy.Addressing topics such as corporate social responsibility (CSR), corporate citizenship, sustainability strategy implementation, and the management of complex multi-stakeholder relationships, this book emphasizes the need for scholarship that addresses environmental, organizational, and socio-economic issues across multiple levels, advocating for solutions that are integrated, inclusive, and transformative.

Models and Practices

Sustainable Organizations

What if the biggest obstacle to solving our problems is nothing more than a failure to believe that we can?Rick Caruso has spent his life stepping optimistically into places where other people see no way forward by asking a deceptively simple question: What can we do to make this better? From his appointment as Commissioner to the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power and later the City's troubled Police Department, to the creation of his bold and innovative real estate ventures including L.A.'s world-renowned retail center The Grove, Caruso built a reputation for finding steadfast solutions even in the face of staunch adversity. By employing the great teachers of experience and curiosity, he continues to do what he can to improve Los Angeles, the city he loves, and in Breaking New Ground, he shares lessons learned along the way--while offering us all a path forward to a better future.Again and again, Caruso discovered that breakthroughs rarely come from knowing everything at the outset. They come from asking better questions, bringing the right people into the room, listening without ego, separating ideology from reality, and refusing to give up until workable solutions emerge. Ultimately, they require a steadfast dedication to the belief that there is always a solution and that defeat is not an option.Breaking New Ground is the story of how his philosophy was forged--from the examples of immigrant grandparents and a father who lost one fortune and built another, to Caruso's own successes, failures, public battles, family life, faith, and unexpected turns through business and government.Caruso is less interested in prescribing a formula for becoming successful than in exploring how successful problem-solvers think: how they distinguish what matters from what merely makes noise; how they balance conviction with compromise; how they recognize when conventional wisdom has stopped working; and how they remain fearless enough to see difficult decisions through.Part memoir, part argument, and part blueprint for action, Breaking New Ground offers a timely proposition for anyone confronting a problem that feels too complicated, entrenched, or divisive to solve.There is always another way forward. Sometimes you simply have to be willing to build it.

The Power of Finding Steadfast Solutions

Breaking New Ground

A provocative exposé of how our attention, behavior, and desires have been co-opted by the “choice box”—a curated set of options that offer a false sense of agency while funneling us down pre-determined paths controlled by a select few Choice boxes are all around us, but chances are you’ve never noticed them. Every time you click on a recommended video, rate an Uber driver, run a Google search, or invest in your 401k, you may think you’re the one calling the shots—but in reality, you’re limited to making the choices that a corporation wants you to make. Today, structured decision-making governs our lives to such an extent that we hardly see it at all. But who designs these choices, and whose interests do they serve? In Choose Your Captivity, historian Eli Cook introduces readers to the choice architects who first built these boxes and trapped us inside—from the maze-building eugenicist who invented the multiple-choice test to the marketing gurus who sold off our supermarket shelves to a few ultra-processed food giants. In less than a generation, architects like these have transformed a handful of online platforms into the richest businesses in the world. And by determining our options, controlling our actions, and even shaping our identities, they have laid the groundwork&nbsp;for the winner-takes-all game of digital capitalism that dominates us today. In a society built around the promise of free choice and personal responsibility, Cook argues, these hidden architects might just have the greatest power of all. A propulsive and vivid history, Choose Your Captivity opens readers’ eyes to the immense power of the choice box—and how to escape it.

How Corporations Built Our Choices and Sold Our Freedom

Choose Your Captivity

Darkside
 Economics is a book about a different use of economics - as a weapon to coerce other economies or to defend them from coercion. There is intense interest in economic warfare which is much in the headlines today, but it has a long history of use and abuse.
The weapons covered include sanctions, embargoes, tariffs, technology restrictions, investment policy, financial tools and some other new instruments based on AI and crypto. We look at the history of these practices, explain how they work and estimate their effects, from the point of view of the aggressor, the target or other small countries. This includes strategic games, weapons retaliation, resilience-building, chokepoint mapping and supply chain management.
These tools often have negative economic effects, but they continue to be a central part of both diplomatic and military strategy, and they are happening in the trade wars all around us. Economists, policy-makers, students, the media and the informed public all need to understand them better. The radical ideas and intriguing stories in this short book will help them.

The Art of Economic Warfare

Darkside Economics

Artificial intelligence has crossed the liability Rubicon. It is no longer a backend IT experiment governed by soft ethics, voluntary frameworks, and vague policy statements; it is a material financial asset driving enterprise revenue and unprecedented legal exposure. As we transition into Industry 5.0, algorithms are making autonomous, consequential decisions at machine speed. Yet, corporate boards and risk committees are attempting to govern these gigahertz systems using static compliance checklists designed for a slower, simpler era. The result is a looming crisis of algorithmic discrimination, regulatory friction, and catastrophic reputational decay. When an opaque, black-box model hallucinates financial advice or leaks proprietary trade secrets, the ensuing failure cascade can destroy billions in market capitalization overnight.AI Governance and Risk Management provides the definitive, boardroom-ready blueprint for surviving the fragmented global regulatory dragnet. This book dismantles the illusion of traditional "Human-in-the-Loop" oversight, proving that true algorithmic safety requires hard, architectural constraints. Drawing on decades of technology operations and academic leadership, the text translates classical financial auditing principles into executable machine logic. The author brings unparalleled practical experience-from supporting six Silicon Valley startups in client-facing roles to develop computer vision use cases, to leading over 30 continuous improvement projects for Cisco Systems. Having authored foundational texts on Segregation of Duties (SOD) and Hierarchical SOD two decades ago, and backed by 15 years of teaching financial risk management, this expertise culminates in the AI Integrity Framework (AIIF). This Hamiltonian approach empowers organizations to embed continuous improvement cycles and strict SOD directly into their deployment pipelines.Readers will discover how to engineer automated "Build Breaks," architect deterministic kill switches, and secure the unstructured data supply chain against copyright contamination and intellectual property theft. By shifting from reactive public relations to proactive "Governance as Code," Chief Risk Officers, legal counsel, and audit committees can mathematically prove fiduciary control to regulators across overlapping jurisdictions, from California to the European Union.Authored by a veteran industry practitioner, creator of five previous Wiley &amp; Sons texts, and current developer of the Industry 5.0 and AI curriculum at Santa Clara University, this release is not a theoretical ethics manual. It is an uncompromising operational survival guide. It provides the exact structural tools necessary to transform artificial intelligence from an unquantified off-balance-sheet liability into a fully auditable, legally defensible, and highly profitable enterprise asset.

The AI Integrity Framework (AIIF) for Enterprise Control and Regulatory Compliance

Auditable AI Governance and Risk Management

'Michael Auerbach has one of the most original minds I've ever encountered . . . This is a dazzling and entertaining book . . . But it is also an urgent warning' PATRICK RADDEN KEEFE, author of Empire of Pain A brilliant exploration of the phenomenon of prediction markets that asks: what happens when democracy becomes another commodity? Prediction markets are sweeping the world, fundamentally changing the nature of gambling - and the very ways in which we attempt to divine the future. Posed as binary 'Yes/No' questions about future events, prediction markets allow any difference of opinion - whether on pop culture or politics, wars or assassinations - to be financialised. A regulatory minefield with moral implications that divide nations, governments and bettors, they have proved as effective at accurately predicting the timing of missile strikes as they have at calling the outcomes of elections.But are these markets really a new phenomenon? And what does it mean when those tasked with safeguarding democracy hold financial stakes in its volatility?From Renaissance Rome, where merchants wagered on papal conclaves, through nineteenth-century London's wartime coffee house gossip, to the Pentagon's ill-fated terrorism futures exchange and blockchain-based betting on Polymarket today, The Big Bet tells the gripping five-hundred-year story of a permissive regime that no one designed and no one voted for.Drawing on deep expertise, Michael Auerbach examines how these markets are changing our world, and what they mean for the future where democracy becomes just another commodity to be priced and traded. Because prediction markets are not an anomaly - they are the logical endpoint of a society that has applied market capitalism to every aspect of life. And in a world where everything is a wager and nothing is off limits, knowing where the chips will fall matters more than ever.

Prediction Markets and the Future of Democracy

The Big Bet

A science-based, practical blueprint for cultivating a life - at work and at home - full of a sense of belonging, joy and vitality, from the New York Times bestselling author of The Culture Code<ul><li>How do we set about finding greater fulfilment in our lives?</li><li>How do we achieve a sense of well-being?</li><li>How do we foster relationships that will add depth and meaning to our existence?</li><li>How, in other words, do we go from living to flourishing?</li></ul>In his new book, bestselling author Daniel Coyle trains his expert eye on the people who have demonstrated exceptional powers of dynamism and connectivity, and teases out their secrets.<ul><li>The Chilean miners who withstood being trapped deep underground for 33 days by establishing rituals of belonging and purpose.</li><li>The Dutch community that sparked urban renewal through a smart system of self-organisation.</li><li>The delicatessen in Michigan that has grown into a multi-million dollar enterprise, not by writing business plans but by shaping attentional space - focussing on how people show up, listen and engage.</li></ul>From such remarkable stories of individual and group achievement, Coyle distils the core dynamics that make them possible - and, in the process, shows how small, deliberate shifts in how we think and interact can create extraordinary impact.Whether you are seeking a deeper sense of personal contentment or aspiring to transform a team or community, Flourish is the indispensable guide to shaping the future you want.

Analyzing the Nexus of Big Data and International Trade

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