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Johannes Bergstein

Economics - Compact Basic Knowledge for Beginners: How to Easily Understand the Fundamentals of Economics and Gain Insight into the Economy, Financial Markets, and Social Models

'An amazing book' - Paul Krugman, Nobel laureate in economics 'Timely, witty and wise' - Tim Harford, bestselling author of The Undercover Economist An essential guide to our new era of economic competition. From Soumaya Keynes, podcaster and columnist at the Financial Times and Chad Bown, former Chief Economist at the US State Department under President Biden. We used to take trade for granted. Trillions of dollars of goods and services crossed borders each year. Nobody paid too much attention: it just worked. Now, surging oil prices can hit your mortgage. Trump's latest tariff announcement can crash markets and ruin your pension. Brexit can sever Britain from its closest trading partners. Chinese restrictions can bring the West's car production to a crashing halt. Curbs on trade in cutting-edge chips could determine who wins the AI race. The stakes couldn't be higher. In this irreverent guide, Keynes and Bown explore the history, players, and rules of trade, asking how we prepare for what the future might hold. Could trade wars lead to hot wars? What can the West learn from China? How should countries defend their economies? Timely, funny and informative, How to Win a Trade War argues that the old system is dead. But what will emerge in its place? And ultimately, what is at stake for you, your country, and your company? 'A breezy, low-jargon guide' - Helen Lewis, bestselling author of The Genius Myth 'Full of insight. This is critical reading for anyone trying to make sense of today's trade disputes' - Chris Miller, bestselling author of Chip War

A Friendly Guide to an Unfriendly World

How to Win a Trade War

Strategic lessons for monetary policy from the last two tumultuous decades based on insights from Sun Tzu, the Chinese philosopher and author of The Art of War. When central banks were forced to innovate and develop a multifaceted set of new weapons in response to the 2008 global financial crisis and 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the result was a substantial expansion in their authority and reach. In The Art of Monetary Policy, Kristin Forbes draws lessons for monetary policy of the last two decades from the principles of Sun Tzu, the author of The Art of War, a Chinese philosopher and military strategist from the fifth century BC. Tzu proposed several key principles for success—tenets that apply to monetary policy and the battlefield today: (1) plan in advance for the next battle; (2) accept and adapt to the inevitability of powerful, external shocks outside your control; (3) establish a strong tactical position; (4) develop a variety of weapons that can be combined for different maneuvers and situations; (5) maintain flexibility so that you can quickly modify your strategy; and (6) consider the longer-term costs when evaluating the trade-offs of different approaches. These principles provide insights into what central banks did (and did not) do well over the last two decades, as well as how they should deploy interest rates, balance sheets, emergency support programs, forward guidance, and macroprudential tools in the future. While the optimal strategy in both war and monetary policy is more of an “art” than a science, adopting these principles can improve our ability to battle the next crisis and build more resilient economies during peaceful periods.

Strategic lessons for monetary policy from the last two tumultuous decades based on insights from Sun Tzu, the Chinese philosopher and author of The Art of War. When central banks were forced to innovate and develop a multifaceted set of new weapons in response to the 2008 global financial crisis and 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the result was a substantial expansion in their authority and reach. In The Art of Monetary Policy, Kristin Forbes draws lessons for monetary policy of the last two decades from the principles of Sun Tzu, the author of The Art of War, a Chinese philosopher and military strategist from the fifth century BC. Tzu proposed several key principles for success—tenets that apply to monetary policy and the battlefield today: (1) plan in advance for the next battle; (2) accept and adapt to the inevitability of powerful, external shocks outside your control; (3) establish a strong tactical position; (4) develop a variety of weapons that can be combined for different maneuvers and situations; (5) maintain flexibility so that you can quickly modify your strategy; and (6) consider the longer-term costs when evaluating the trade-offs of different approaches. These principles provide insights into what central banks did (and did not) do well over the last two decades, as well as how they should deploy interest rates, balance sheets, emergency support programs, forward guidance, and macroprudential tools in the future. While the optimal strategy in both war and monetary policy is more of an “art” than a science, adopting these principles can improve our ability to battle the next crisis and build more resilient economies during peaceful periods.

Lessons from Sun Tzu for Central Banks

The Art of Monetary Policy

Why the consequences of a prolonged period of weaker economic growth will be more profound than anyone dares to predictIn the heady progress of the post-war era, our lifestyles changed, our political systems adapted, and rapid economic growth became the model of every developed economy. But this prevailing consensus is falling apart around us. Growth is now, at best, no more than anaemic. Policymakers dream about an AI revolution and tweak their fiscal rules to accommodate a newly-austere economic reality but, all the while, government debt soars, financial markets become increasingly jittery, and voters lose trust in their politicians.Celebrated economist Stephen D. King asks how our politics will adapt to such persistently low growth. While leaders make fiscal promises based on a future that is unlikely to materialise, nationalism thrives, battlelines are drawn between perceived winners and losers, and the rules-based international order crumbles. The absence of growth triggers invidious political wrangling over tax, welfare, defence and infrastructure, intensifies competition for resources, and leads to social instability.King shows how our new world is governed by them-and-us divisions over limited economic spoils. This is the political economy of plunder.&nbsp;

Winners and Losers in the Low Growth Era

The Age of Plunder

What people believe about the economy—and why it matters How do expectations about the future influence economic behavior? For decades, economists have known that beliefs play a central role—from how much households spend, to how firms set prices, to how central banks design policy. But figuring out exactly how expectations affect decisions has been one of the field’s most persistent empirical challenges. In this book, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko present a fresh empirical approach: using randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to study the causal impact of expectations. Drawing on more than a decade of their research, they show how targeted information treatments can generate experimental variation in beliefs—making it possible to measure how those beliefs influence real-world decisions. Along the way, they reassess the limits of the traditional rational expectations framework and offer a richer, evidence-based picture of how people form and act on their views about the economy. Blending the credibility of field experiments with the big-picture questions of macroeconomics, the authors provide a clear, practical guide to this new methodology—from survey design to implementation to measuring how beliefs pass through into behavior. While much of the book focuses on inflation expectations, later chapters explore how this approach sheds light on the role of uncertainty in firm and household decision making, the influence of expectations on financial behavior, and how peer effects shape household spending. For economists and social scientists alike, this book offers a new lens on how beliefs work—and why they matter.

The New Causal Macroeconomics of Surveys and Experiments

Expectations Matter

A succinct introduction to the theoretical debate on economic development and stagnation. In this book, André Nassif examines the complexity of economic theory, shaped by the interactions of diverse agents-firms, households, governments, and banks-across various markets. Despite its abstract nature, economic theories can be made accessible through careful explanation. Development and Stagnation covers the main theoretical foundations of economic development and incorporates key contributions from Latin America. Overall, the book offers a comprehensive overview of contemporary debates that critically engages with these theories while maintaining academic rigor.&nbsp;

Development and Stagnation

The lives of the world's poorest are already harder, hotter, and shorter, thanks to the actions and emissions of the world's richest. But just as the rich world's emissions are finally falling, emissions from poorer countries are set to increase drastically. We seem to be caught in an impossible bind-but it's not too late to find a way out. In Just Economics, renowned economists Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo (co-recipients of the 2019 Nobel Prize), and Michael Greenstone propose a radical new approach to combatting the climate crisis, arguing that climate deterioration is inseparable from our polycrisis of mass migration, political instability and the resurgence of populist nationalism. We cannot make progress, they show, without compensating those harmed by climate change and incentivizing developing countries to reduce their emissions, to our benefit too. Morality and self-interest are no longer mutually exclusive. Based on meticulous original research and years of fieldwork around the world witnessing and quantifying the real impact of climate change on those most affected, this inspiring work shows it's not impossible to protect the poor while protecting our future-it's just economics.

A Better Deal for People and Planet

Just Economics

Studienkurs Management in der Sozialwirtschaft

Der Band wendet sich vor allem an Studierende betriebswirtschaftlicher und sozialwissenschaftlicher Studiengänge mit sozialwirtschaftlichem Bezug. Die Teilabschnitte sind in sich abgeschlossen und voneinander unabhängig. Das Lehrbuch gibt einen Kurzüberblick über das Vertrags- und Betreuungsrecht, stellt die für die Sozialwirtschaft wesentlichen arbeitsrechtlichen Grundlagen dar und enthält einen Überblick über das in der Sozialwirtschaft relevante Organisationsrecht. Ein Schwerpunkt liegt auf dem Gemeinnützigkeitsrecht, das vertieft dargestellt wird. Zudem gibt das Buch einen Überblick über die umsatzsteuerlichen Grundlagen und die umsatzsteuerlichen Besonderheiten in der Sozialwirtschaft.

Rechtliche und steuerliche Grundlagen in der Sozialwirtschaft

From the acclaimed co-author of Why Empires Fall, a bold vision for how to put Western economies back on a sustainable footing.

Why Rich Economies Are Struggling - and How to Fix Them

Icarus Economics

Studies in Macroeconomic History

The Birth of Banking in the Long Nineteenth Century

Slow Capitalism in Latin America

Milton Friedman and Economic Debate in the United States

Milton Friedman and Economic Debate in the United States, 1973-1976, Vol. 3

Routledge Frontiers of Political Economy

Classical and Post-Keynesian Perspectives

Growth, Distribution, and Effective Demand

Palgrave Studies in Public Debt, Spending, and Revenue

This book examines the interplay of professional norms and political accountability in the process of making decisions about whether, how, and how much debt state and local governments should incur. The careful analysis of accountability in actual decisions, focusing particularly on whether and how individual and collective decision-making behavior responds to general (stipulated) norms and situational (negotiated) expectations in their broader social contexts, is a familiar approach in the study of management and public organizations generally, but has not been extensively applied to this area of public financial decision making. Political economists, especially those identified with the public-choice approach, have done extensive macro-level normative and theoretical analysis of public debt, but not in an empirically rich fashion. This book therefore constitutes a missing link that uses analyses of selected cases to advance conceptual understandings of organizational accountability spaces in general, and decisions to incur public indebtedness and the implications of those decisions specifically, by examining the intersection of the macro, meso, and micro levels of expectations for and practices of public financial decision making.

Professionalism and Accountability in Public Finance Decision-Making

Debt Reckoning

Economics - Compact Basic Knowledge for Beginners: How to Easily Understand the Fundamentals of Economics and Gain Insight into the Economy, Financial Markets, and Social Models

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