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Ibarra Herminia: The Bonus Years / LF

The Bonus Years

Your Next Chapter in Life and Work

A dazzling exploration of the phenomenon of prediction betting markets that asks: what happens when democracy becomes another commodity? For many, Donald Trump's decisive election victory over Kamala Harris in 2024 was a shock. Traditional polls had the race on a razor's edge. But, for those with eyes on prediction betting markets, a very different story was being told. In recent years, prediction markets have swept the world, fundamentally changing the nature of the gambling market, and making their youthful pioneers billionaires. Posed as binary 'Yes/No' questions about future events, prediction bets allow any difference of opinion - whether on politics, wars, assassinations or popular culture - to be financialised. But are these markets really a new phenomenon? What does it mean when markets get closer to the truth than the institutions we built to protect us? And what happens when those tasked with safeguarding democracy possess financial stakes in its volatility? From Renaissance Rome, where merchants wagered on papal conclaves, through London coffee house gossip during the Napoleonic Wars, to the Pentagon's ill-fated terrorism futures exchange, The Big Bet describes the full five-hundred-year arc of a permissive regime which no one designed and no one voted for. Drawing on deep expertise, Michael Auerbach examines how these markets are changing our world, and what they mean for the future of our democratic self-governance. Because they are not an anomaly - they are the logical endpoint of a society that has applied market capitalism to every aspect of life. And in a world when everything is a wager and nothing is off limits, knowing where the chips will fall matters more than ever.

Prediction Markets and the Future of Democracy

The Big Bet

Transform Your Business from One-Off Sales to Recurring Revenue with Memberships and Subscriptions

Predictable Profits

Fashion Forecasters work with designers, apparel brands, advertisers, and media organizations, as an integral part of the rapidly changing fashion industry. With Fashion Forecasting, Sixth Edition, you will learn how to anticipate emerging trends and how to prepare and present your own fashion forecast. Chapters on different fashion eras and world cultures show you influences on fashion innovation past and present, so that you can spot those of the future. This edition includes coverage of the impact of pandemic and global supply chain disruptions on fashion forecasting, trends, and the overall fashion industry. New box features include profiles of forecasting companies and forecasting activities to help prepare students for the job market. Features and case studies have been broadened to include all new examples. New to this Edition: -All New Trend Creators profiles spotlight individuals outside the fashion industry who have been highly influential on the direction of modern fashion -Newly named chapter Street Styles demonstrates how street fashion mixes current trends and individual expression -Extended coverage of the most vital influences on new trends have been updated and belonging, fairness, and awareness is concurrent throughout -Expanded updates to chapters on "Consumers" and "Sales and Strategy," to provide specific examples to the business of fashion forecasting and are highly relevant to future fashion industry professionals STUDIO Study smarter with self-quizzes, featuring scored results, personalized study tips and updated with new keywords and concepts Review updated concepts with interactive flashcards of essential vocabulary Instructor Resources -Instructor's Guide provides suggestions for using the text in the classroom and planning the course with sample syllabi, a test bank, and supplemental assignments -PowerPoint® presentations include images from the book and provide a framework for lecture and discussion

Fashion Forecasting

A BRAND NEW EDITION WITH AN UPDATED FOREWORD THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER | OVER 500,000 COPIES SOLD WORLDWIDE Why do some products capture our attention while others fade into obscurity? What makes us check our phones, open an app, or scroll a feed without even thinking? Is there a repeatable pattern behind how technology hooks us? In Hooked, Nir Eyal reveals the secret psychology behind the world's most engaging products. Introducing the groundbreaking Hook Model - Trigger ? Action ? Variable Reward ? Investment - Eyal uncovers how products from Apple, Twitter, Instagram and Google create lasting user habits and how you can ethically harness these principles to build products people love. Packed with cutting-edge behavioural science, case studies, and practical frameworks, Hooked is both a manual for product designers and a mirror for anyone curious about their own habits. 'Hooked changed my life. It's essential reading for anyone who wants to better understand their actions and habits' Steven Bartlett, Diary of a CEO 'Nir Eyal taught Silicon Valley how to design behaviour - and then reminded us to use that power responsibly; Mark Manson, Solved Podcast 'Our challenges go beyond technology; they stem from the internal discomfort that Nir Eyal's work helps us understand' Ali Abdaal, Deep Dive Podcast 'In Hooked, Nir Eyal shows the fine line between persuasion and coercion - and why ethical design matters more than ever' Jim O'Shaughnessy, Infinite Loops Podcast

How to Build Habit-Forming Products

Hooked

'Brimming with surprising insights and useful tips... the resource we need for making genuine connections' Adam Grant, bestselling author of Think Again How do you resolve a misunderstanding before it becomes a conflict? How do you build influence when you're not in the room? How do you create real connection when your team works apart? Drawing on award-winning Professor Andrew Brodsky's groundbreaking research, as well as real-world examples, Ping reveals: ¿ The hidden strengths and weaknesses of every communication channel ¿ When to email, message, call, meet - or let AI help ¿ How to make memorable virtual first impressions ¿ How to build trust, influence, and stronger relationships at a distance ¿ How to negotiate, persuade, and solve problems through a screen Ping will change the way you think about every message you send. 'A must read for everyone who communicates online - in other words, everyone' Jake Knapp, co-founder of Google Meet and bestselling author of Sprint

Change The Way You Think About Every Message You Send

Ping

“Professor Bobbi Thomason offers us a manifesto to agency—and teaches us what it means to have it, lose it, and reclaim it. Blending science and storytelling, her writing is as brilliant as it is vulnerable.”—Dolly Chugh, professor, New York University Stern School of Business, author of The Person You Mean to Be and A More Just Future Combining raw memoir and rigorous research, this thoughtful and eye-opening work offers a transformative roadmap to reclaim your agency by coloring outside the lines of what society expects. We make many vows in our lifetimes, some big, some small. Some vows are brief and time bound. Others are intended to last a lifetime. Fulfilling those vows is deeply complicated for women. We are often navigating environments that weren't built for us, where a sudden life shock—or just the exhausting weight of small, daily demands—may sideline our goals. After years of studying how can-do women advance in a world that isn't set up for their success, Dr. Bobbi Thomason found herself navigating a difficult divorce and custody battle—and living the very challenges to women's agency that she had been researching. Bobbi knew she needed more than outdated popular advice to make it through, so she returned to the science and reconsidered how to apply it in her own life. In Vows to Ourselves, she chronicles her journey as she examines how women’s power is taken from them by never-ending obligations to others. And yet, while looking out for other people might be part of the problem; it is also part of the solution. Thomason frames agency not as an isolated achievement, but as a shared practice, detailing how women act with and for their village. Grounded in data and her own raw story, this book offers a credible, compassionate blueprint, encouraging women to let go of life's default settings and build a life centered on their own most precious priorities that honors their complicated and multi-faceted selves. Vows to Ourselves will make every woman feel seen and supported. It will invite you to experiment, to put yourself first, and to sculpt the life and career you deserve. Vows to Ourselves offers women:Answers To Why Agency Is So Hard: Dr. Thomason offers a compelling, evidence-based exploration of why even the most ambitious, and high-achieving women find their autonomy hijacked—and the science of how women break free from being stuck. A Story that Resonates: Through raw, vulnerable storytelling that brings the research to life, Dr. Bobbi Thomason shares her own wake-up call, reminding you that it’s never too late to reclaim your life. Overdue Validation: If you feel overwhelmed, stuck, or stretched too thin, this book meets you with compassion—reminding you that you are not failing. Real Tools For Real Life: Discover practical, research-backed ways to set boundaries, rediscover your desires, and build a life where your ambitions and relationships can thrive together. A Powerful Invitation To Put Yourself First: Learn how honoring your own needs doesn’t just transform your life—it creates a ripple effect of strength, joy, and possibility for everyone around you.

“Professor Bobbi Thomason offers us a manifesto to agency—and teaches us what it means to have it, lose it, and reclaim it. Blending science and storytelling, her writing is as brilliant as it is vulnerable.”—Dolly Chugh, professor, New York University Stern School of Business, author of The Person You Mean to Be and A More Just Future Combining raw memoir and rigorous research, this thoughtful and eye-opening work offers a transformative roadmap to reclaim your agency by coloring outside the lines of what society expects. We make many vows in our lifetimes, some big, some small. Some vows are brief and time bound. Others are intended to last a lifetime. Fulfilling those vows is deeply complicated for women. We are often navigating environments that weren't built for us, where a sudden life shock—or just the exhausting weight of small, daily demands—may sideline our goals. After years of studying how can-do women advance in a world that isn't set up for their success, Dr. Bobbi Thomason found herself navigating a difficult divorce and custody battle—and living the very challenges to women's agency that she had been researching. Bobbi knew she needed more than outdated popular advice to make it through, so she returned to the science and reconsidered how to apply it in her own life. In Vows to Ourselves, she chronicles her journey as she examines how women’s power is taken from them by never-ending obligations to others. And yet, while looking out for other people might be part of the problem; it is also part of the solution. Thomason frames agency not as an isolated achievement, but as a shared practice, detailing how women act with and for their village. Grounded in data and her own raw story, this book offers a credible, compassionate blueprint, encouraging women to let go of life's default settings and build a life centered on their own most precious priorities that honors their complicated and multi-faceted selves. Vows to Ourselves will make every woman feel seen and supported. It will invite you to experiment, to put yourself first, and to sculpt the life and career you deserve. Vows to Ourselves offers women:Answers To Why Agency Is So Hard: Dr. Thomason offers a compelling, evidence-based exploration of why even the most ambitious, and high-achieving women find their autonomy hijacked—and the science of how women break free from being stuck. A Story that Resonates: Through raw, vulnerable storytelling that brings the research to life, Dr. Bobbi Thomason shares her own wake-up call, reminding you that it’s never too late to reclaim your life. Overdue Validation: If you feel overwhelmed, stuck, or stretched too thin, this book meets you with compassion—reminding you that you are not failing. Real Tools For Real Life: Discover practical, research-backed ways to set boundaries, rediscover your desires, and build a life where your ambitions and relationships can thrive together. A Powerful Invitation To Put Yourself First: Learn how honoring your own needs doesn’t just transform your life—it creates a ripple effect of strength, joy, and possibility for everyone around you.

How Women Reclaim Agency and Why It Matters for All of Us

Vows to Ourselves

Humanity's most spectacular era yet is increasingly within reach.So why are we doing everything we can to hold it back?The bestselling author of The Rational Optimist delivers a daring vision of the future - one that is potentially dazzling, but only if we stop sleepwalking into self-inflicted decline.We're on the brink of a truly spectacular explosion of productivity and prosperity, argues Matt Ridley, thanks to a combination of artificial intelligence, material science and genomic knowledge that is unprecedented in its scope and implications. With characteristic wit and ferocity, he confronts the irrational pessimism that dominates public discourse and examines the bureaucratic bloat, regulatory overreach, ideological superstition and crony capitalism that stand in the way.Optimistic in conclusion but unsparing in its analysis, The Flourishing is a rousing call to achieve and innovate by refusing to settle for a merely adequate future when a magnificent one is within reach.

The Rational Pessimist

Mit dem Buch „Digital Business Generator“ von Tobias Kollmann und Simon Hensellek bekommt der Leser ein praxisorientiertes Tool für den Aufbau digitaler Geschäftsmodelle in der Digitalen Wirtschaft in die Hand, mit dem er Schritt für Schritt entweder einen vollkommen neuen digitalen Geschäftsprozess entwickeln oder einen bereits vorhandenen realen Geschäftsprozess digital transformieren kann. Es geht also nicht nur um den Neuaufbau von digitalen Geschäftsmodellen, sondern auch um die Digitale Transformation bestehender realer Geschäftsprozesse. Neue Unternehmen (Startups) und etablierte Unternehmen (Mittelstand/Industrie) aus allen Branchen müssen und können sich entsprechend mit dem resultierenden „Digital Business Generator“ dieser Herausforderung einer Digitalen Innovation bzw. einer Digitalen Transformation stellen. Der Digital Business Generator (DBG) vermittelt als Tool ein umfassendes Rahmenwerk und zeigt auf, wie ein digitales Geschäftsmodell basierend auf Wertschöpfungsprozessen durch innovative Informationstechnologie (IT) verstanden, entworfen, implementiert und kontinuierlich (re-)evaluiert werden kann.
 Neu in der 2. Auflage
 
 In der 2. Auflage wurden alle Kapitel überarbeitet und die Terminologie von „E-Business“ auf „Digital Business“ umgestellt. Aktuelle Themen wie z. B. Digital Intrapreneurship, Digital Interpreneurship, Digitalisierungsdruck u.v.m. wurden einbezogen bzw. an neuere Entwicklungen angepasst. Ebenso wurden alle Praxisbeispiele und Medienhinweise auf einen neuen Stand gebracht.
 
 Die Zielgruppen
 
 Die Zielgruppe sind zum einen Praktiker, die sich mit dem Gedanken einer Unternehmensgründung in der Digitalen Wirtschaft befassen bzw. Gründer, die bereits in solchen Unternehmen arbeiten. Dazu gehören auch Vertreter von Mittelstand und Industrie, die über Inkubatoren oder Acceleratoren den Anschluss an die Startup-Szene suchen bzw. in den eigenen Unternehmen über Innovations- bzw. Fachabteilungen oder sogar schon eigenen Digital Units neue digitale Geschäftsmodelle aufbauen wollen. Eine weitere Zielgruppe sind zum anderen Studierende und Lehrkräfte, die sich mit den Themen (Digital) Entrepreneurship, Innovationsmanagement, Digital Business bzw. Digital Commerce beschäftigen.
 
 Die Autoren
 Prof. Dr. Tobias Kollmann
 &nbsp;ist Inhaber des Lehrstuhls für BWL und Wirtschaftsinformatik, insbesondere Digital Business und Digital Entrepreneurship, an der Universität Duisburg-Essen, Campus Essen.
 Dr. Simon Hensellek
 &nbsp;ist Juniorprofessor für Entrepreneurship und Digitalisierung an der Technischen Universität Dortmund.

Mit dem Buch „Digital Business Generator“ von Tobias Kollmann und Simon Hensellek bekommt der Leser ein praxisorientiertes Tool für den Aufbau digitaler Geschäftsmodelle in der Digitalen Wirtschaft in die Hand, mit dem er Schritt für Schritt entweder einen vollkommen neuen digitalen Geschäftsprozess entwickeln oder einen bereits vorhandenen realen Geschäftsprozess digital transformieren kann. Es geht also nicht nur um den Neuaufbau von digitalen Geschäftsmodellen, sondern auch um die Digitale Transformation bestehender realer Geschäftsprozesse. Neue Unternehmen (Startups) und etablierte Unternehmen (Mittelstand/Industrie) aus allen Branchen müssen und können sich entsprechend mit dem resultierenden „Digital Business Generator“ dieser Herausforderung einer Digitalen Innovation bzw. einer Digitalen Transformation stellen. Der Digital Business Generator (DBG) vermittelt als Tool ein umfassendes Rahmenwerk und zeigt auf, wie ein digitales Geschäftsmodell basierend auf Wertschöpfungsprozessen durch innovative Informationstechnologie (IT) verstanden, entworfen, implementiert und kontinuierlich (re-)evaluiert werden kann.
 Neu in der 2. Auflage
 
 In der 2. Auflage wurden alle Kapitel überarbeitet und die Terminologie von „E-Business“ auf „Digital Business“ umgestellt. Aktuelle Themen wie z.B. Digital Intrapreneurship, Digital Interpreneurship, Digitalisierungsdruck u.v.m. wurden einbezogen bzw. an neuere Entwicklungen angepasst. Ebenso wurden alle Praxisbeispiele und Medienhinweise auf einen neuen Stand gebracht.
 
 Die Zielgruppen
 
 Die Zielgruppe sind zum einen Praktiker, die sich mit dem Gedanken einer Unternehmensgründung in der Digitalen Wirtschaft befassen bzw. Gründer, die bereits in solchen Unternehmen arbeiten. Dazu gehören auch Vertreter von Mittelstand und Industrie, die über Inkubatoren oder Acceleratoren den Anschluss an die Startup-Szene suchen bzw. in den eigenen Unternehmen über Innovations- bzw. Fachabteilungen oder sogar schon eigenen Digital Units neue digitale Geschäftsmodelle aufbauen wollen. Eine weitere Zielgruppe sind zum anderen Studierende und Lehrkräfte, die sich mit den Themen (Digital) Entrepreneurship, Innovationsmanagement, Digital Business bzw. Digital Commerce beschäftigen.

Aufbau von Geschäftsmodellen und -prozessen in der Digitalen Wirtschaft

Digital Business Generator

You know you have more to offer, but you're tired of waiting for a seat at the table to prove it. Most emerging leaders feel stuck in a holding pattern, believing that their ability to make an impact is capped by their current title or the person above them on the org chart. But influence isn't a reward for a promotion. It's a muscle you build in the mundane, everyday moments of your current role.In 90 Days to Grow Your Influence Clay Scroggins, bestselling author of How to Lead When You're Not in Charge, provides a daily roadmap for the "not-in-charge" leader. Drawing from his foundational work on leveraging influence without authority, this 90-day reader helps you navigate the tension of having great responsibility but very little power.Each day is designed to be a "snackable" but substantial 5-minute read, perfect for your morning coffee or the commute to the office. Through a mix of relatable stories, leadership metaphors, and spiritually grounded reflections, you'll learn how to: <ul><li>Understand Identity: Secure your worth in who you are, not just what you do or what your business card says.</li><li>Lead Yourself: Master the disciplines of self-awareness and emotional intelligence.</li><li>Choose Positivity: Cultivate a resilient, solution-oriented mindset that shifts the energy of every room you enter.</li><li>Think Critically: Stop being a passive observer and start solving problems.</li><li>Reject Passivity: Take ownership of the ground you're standing on today.</li><li>Challenge Well: Influence the leaders above you with relational equity and wisdom.</li></ul>Whether you are a new hire, a middle manager, or an aspiring executive, this book is your daily reminder that your seat on the org chart doesn't define your impact. You have everything you need to start leading right where you are. Real influence starts here.

You know you have more to offer, but you're tired of waiting for a seat at the table to prove it. Most emerging leaders feel stuck in a holding pattern, believing that their ability to make an impact is capped by their current title or the person above them on the org chart. But influence isn't a reward for a promotion. It's a muscle you build in the mundane, everyday moments of your current role.In 90 Days to Grow Your Influence Clay Scroggins, bestselling author of How to Lead When You're Not in Charge, provides a daily roadmap for the "not-in-charge" leader. Drawing from his foundational work on leveraging influence without authority, this 90-day reader helps you navigate the tension of having great responsibility but very little power.Each day is designed to be a "snackable" but substantial 5-minute read, perfect for your morning coffee or the commute to the office. Through a mix of relatable stories, leadership metaphors, and spiritually grounded reflections, you'll learn how to:<ul><li>Understand Identity: Secure your worth in who you are, not just what you do or what your business card says.</li><li>Lead Yourself: Master the disciplines of self-awareness and emotional intelligence.</li><li>Choose Positivity: Cultivate a resilient, solution-oriented mindset that shifts the energy of every room you enter.</li><li>Think Critically: Stop being a passive observer and start solving problems.</li><li>Reject Passivity: Take ownership of the ground you're standing on today.</li><li>Challenge Well: Influence the leaders above you with relational equity and wisdom.</li></ul>Whether you are a new hire, a middle manager, or an aspiring executive, this book is your daily reminder that your seat on the org chart doesn't define your impact. You have everything you need to start leading right where you are. Real influence starts here.

Daily Habits for Leading from Any Level

90 Days to Grow Your Influence

A guide to communicating professionally and authentically in today's workplace. Whether you are a leader, manager, or ambitious young professional, this book provides strategies you can use to communicate effectively and professionally without losing your own voice, command a room without dominating it, and inspire action without forcing it. Drawing on the author's experience teaching Business Communication courses and working for both international organizations and startups, you'll be equipped with proven techniques you can apply right away. Grounded in real-world examples, including how to write a persuasive email, how to navigate a difficult conversation with a colleague, how to craft an engaging virtual presentation, and how to effectively use AI as a support tool, Buxton covers all you need to know about written, spoken, and digital forms of communication.

Speaking and Writing with Professional Impact

Magnetic Communication

How to Think Differently about Thinking Differently

Smart Contrarians

We vow for richer for poorer. We sacrifice for our children, we give back to our parents. Because in true love and family matters, money's irrelevant and it would be terrible to suggest otherwise. Right?

We vow for richer for poorer. We sacrifice for our children, we give back to our parents. Because in true love and family matters, money's irrelevant and it would be terrible to suggest otherwise. Right?

The Modern Money Questions That Could Save Your Relationships

Yours or Mine?

The Bonus Years

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