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Gervais Pierre: The Age of Commerce

The Age of Commerce

Merchants, Markets and Wealth in the Early Modern Atlantic World

Shortlisted for the Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year Award How 1,000 years of global history show why technological and economic progress is often followed by stagnation and even collapse In How Progress Ends, Carl Benedikt Frey challenges the conventional belief that economic and technological progress is inevitable. For most of human history, stagnation was the norm, and even today progress and prosperity in the world's largest, most advanced economies--the United States and China--have fallen short of expectations. To appreciate why we cannot depend on any AI-fueled great leap forward, Frey offers a remarkable and fascinating journey across the globe, spanning the past 1,000 years, to explain why some societies flourish and others fail in the wake of rapid technological change. By examining key historical moments--from the rise of the steam engine to the dawn of AI--Frey shows why technological shifts have shaped, and sometimes destabilized, entire civilizations. He explores why some leading technological powers of the past--such as Song China, the Dutch Republic, and Victorian Britain--ultimately lost their innovative edge, why some modern nations such as Japan had periods of rapid growth followed by stagnation, and why planned economies like the Soviet Union collapsed after brief surges of progress. Frey uncovers a recurring tension in history: while decentralization fosters the exploration of new technologies, bureaucracy is crucial for scaling them. When institutions fail to adapt to technological change, stagnation inevitably follows. Only by carefully balancing decentralization and bureaucracy can nations innovate and grow over the long term--findings that have worrying implications for the United States, Europe, China, and other economies today. Through a rich narrative that weaves together history, economics, and technology, How Progress Ends reveals that managing the future requires us to draw the right lessons from the past.

Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations

How Progress Ends

This is a book about choices. Not the kind you make when you decide who to marry, whether to quit your job, or when to go for a hike. It's about the kind that hardly existed a hundred years ago but now govern our lives. The kind that have architects.Choose Your Captivity exposes the hidden forms of designed choice that, by determining the options made available to us, are deployed to steer our attention, behaviour and desires, influencing everything from what we eat to where we live and how we vote. It introduces the architects who first devised and applied these insidious tools, from the maze-building eugenicist who invented the multiple-choice test to the marketing gurus who in less than a generation helped transform a handful of online platforms into the richest corporations in history. By constraining our actions, shaping our choices and even our identities, they have made the world we know today.Open your eyes to the immense power wielded by the choice architects - and how to escape it.

How Choice Architects Made Our World and Sold Our Freedom

Choose Your Captivity

'Michael Auerbach has one of the most original minds I've ever encountered . . . This is a dazzling and entertaining book . . . But it is also an urgent warning' PATRICK RADDEN KEEFE, author of Empire of Pain A brilliant exploration of the phenomenon of prediction markets that asks: what happens when democracy becomes another commodity? Prediction markets are sweeping the world, fundamentally changing the nature of gambling - and the very ways in which we attempt to divine the future. Posed as binary 'Yes/No' questions about future events, prediction markets allow any difference of opinion - whether on pop culture or politics, wars or assassinations - to be financialised. A regulatory minefield with moral implications that divide nations, governments and bettors, they have proved as effective at accurately predicting the timing of missile strikes as they have at calling the outcomes of elections.But are these markets really a new phenomenon? And what does it mean when those tasked with safeguarding democracy hold financial stakes in its volatility?From Renaissance Rome, where merchants wagered on papal conclaves, through nineteenth-century London's wartime coffee house gossip, to the Pentagon's ill-fated terrorism futures exchange and blockchain-based betting on Polymarket today, The Big Bet tells the gripping five-hundred-year story of a permissive regime that no one designed and no one voted for.Drawing on deep expertise, Michael Auerbach examines how these markets are changing our world, and what they mean for the future where democracy becomes just another commodity to be priced and traded. Because prediction markets are not an anomaly - they are the logical endpoint of a society that has applied market capitalism to every aspect of life. And in a world where everything is a wager and nothing is off limits, knowing where the chips will fall matters more than ever.

Prediction Markets and the Future of Democracy

The Big Bet

This Palgrave Pivot offers a groundbreaking reassessment of the concept of slavery in the Bible. Taking an interdisciplinary perspective, it interweaves historical semantics with an analysis of language to argue that slavery as it is primarily understood today – as a legal institution which reduced individuals involuntarily to the status of property - was not legitimized by biblical doctrine.
 The book presents a concise, accessible argument, focused around the translation of the Bible into English and the use of the language of slavery. The term ‘slavery’, emerging in the sixteenth century, was at first used to identify a condition of dishonour, as well as a system of forced labour, and it was only in the seventeenth century that it came to be equated with the Roman institution of 
 servitus
 , and in the eighteenth with the ownership of people as property. As a result, and uniquely among studies of slavery in the Bible, this book does not seek to engage in debates about whether or not the Bible supported slavery, claiming the premise itself is mistaken. The idea that slavery was an ancient legal institution that reduced individuals involuntarily to the status of property is a product of modernity.
 This book has far-reaching implications for a range of disciplines including economic and legal history and biblical scholarship as well as slavery studies.Judith M. Spicksley 
 is an economic and social historian with an interest in language. She worked in the Department of Economics at the University of York and in the Wilberforce Institute at the University of Hull. She has written about the lending activities of never-married women in early modern England, and the role of debt in the transatlantic slave trade. She is currently preparing a long overview of ownership for publication,&nbsp;
 Owning People: Survival, Life Debt and Slavery from the Ancient World to the Enlightenment.&nbsp;

This Palgrave Pivot offers a groundbreaking reassessment of the concept of slavery in the Bible. Taking an interdisciplinary perspective, it interweaves historical semantics with an analysis of language to argue that slavery as it is primarily understood today – as a legal institution which reduced individuals involuntarily to the status of property - was not legitimized by biblical doctrine.
 The book presents a concise, accessible argument, focused around the translation of the Bible into English and the use of the language of slavery. The term ‘slavery’, emerging in the sixteenth century, was at first used to identify a condition of dishonour, as well as a system of forced labour, and it was only in the seventeenth century that it came to be equated with the Roman institution of 
 servitus
 , and in the eighteenth with the ownership of people as property. As a result, and uniquely among studies of slavery in the Bible, this book does not seek to engage in debates about whether or not the Bible supported slavery, claiming the premise itself is mistaken. The idea that slavery was an ancient legal institution that reduced individuals involuntarily to the status of property is a product of modernity.
 This book has far-reaching implications for a range of disciplines including economic and legal history and biblical scholarship as well as slavery studies.

Recovering the Socio-legal Basis of Ownership

Slavery in the English Bible

Palgrave Studies in the History of Finance

This book brings together the most significant uncollected writings of the renowned economic historian Peter Spufford (1934–2017). Spanning topics from medieval coinage and monetary policy to international trade and shifting financial centres, this volume showcases Spufford’s unique ability to integrate numismatics, economic history, and archival research across multiple languages and disciplines.The collection includes both previously published and unpublished studies, some of which were originally available only in German, French, or Italian. These papers reflect Spufford’s lifelong commitment to uncovering the complexities of medieval economies through rigorous analysis of primary sources, archaeological evidence, and pictorial materials. The volume makes accessible a wealth of scholarship that had remained scattered or difficult to obtain, offering new insights into the monetary and commercial systems of Europe from the Middle Ages to the early modern period. It will be a fascinating resource for historians of money, trade, and medieval Europe.Jan Lucassen
 is an Honorary Fellow at the International Institute of Social History, the Netherlands.&nbsp;
 Peter Spufford 
 was Professor of European History at the University of Cambridge, UK.&nbsp;

This book brings together the most significant uncollected writings of the renowned economic historian Peter Spufford (1934–2017). Spanning topics from medieval coinage and monetary policy to international trade and shifting financial centres, this volume showcases Spufford’s unique ability to integrate numismatics, economic history, and archival research across multiple languages and disciplines.The collection includes both previously published and unpublished studies, some of which were originally available only in German, French, or Italian. These papers reflect Spufford’s lifelong commitment to uncovering the complexities of medieval economies through rigorous analysis of primary sources, archaeological evidence, and pictorial materials. The volume makes accessible a wealth of scholarship that had remained scattered or difficult to obtain, offering new insights into the monetary and commercial systems of Europe from the Middle Ages to the early modern period. It will be a fascinating resource for historians of money, trade, and medieval Europe.

Collected Essays of Peter Spufford

Money, Trade and Shifting Financial Centres, 1000 – 1800

How Private Equity Turned Capitalism Against Itself

The Asset Class

*A New York Times Notable Book * A Financial Times Best Book of the Year 'A learned, formidable and vivid story... Readers around the world will study and ponder this monumental work of history, agreeing and arguing with it, all the while affirming its generational importance, for decades to come' The New York Times 'Epic... Read this book and you will learn innumerable things you did not previously know culled from places you have never been' Financial Times A brilliant global narrative that unravels the defining story of the past thousand years No other phenomenon has shaped human history as decisively as capitalism. It structures how we live and work, how we think about ourselves and others, how we organise our politics. Sven Beckert situates the story of capitalism within the largest conceivable geographical and historical framework in this fascinating new book.Capitalism, argues Beckert, was born global. Emerging from merchant communities across Asia, Africa and Europe, capitalism's radical recasting of economic life rooted itself only gradually. Then it burst onto the world scene, as European states and merchants built a powerful alliance that would propel them across the oceans. This epic drama corresponded at no point to an idealised dream of free markets. All along, state-backed institutions and imperial expansions shaped its dynamics.Capitalism decentres the European perspective, highlighting agency, resistance, innovation and ruthless coercion around the world through to the present with the rise of Asian economies, particularly China. Sven Beckert doesn't merely add up capitalism's debits and credits in this monumental book, but allows us to think afresh about the past to help us re-imagine the future.

A Global History

Capitalism

'Excellent' Aaron Bastani 'Provocative ... An entertaining, sweeping read' Financial Times Every leader comes to power promising growth: think back to the campaigns of Boris, Truss, Sunak, Starmer, Trump. Yet real-term income hasn't improved in the UK since 2008. Across the West, growth has stagnated for well over a decade, leading to cost of living crises, political instability and rising social tensions. Is real economic growth still possible? And with the climate emergency accelerating beyond repair, should we still be pushing for it? In Icarus Economics, acclaimed economist John Rapley argues that the problem of growth is inherently tied up with the climate crisis. We often assume that poor countries will bear the brunt of climate change, pandemics, and other exogenous shocks, but this book argues the opposite: western societies have more wealth and capital to lose and are less inherently resilient. In this book, he shows us how rich countries can grow their own economies by helping poor countries to decarbonise - and in the process, mitigate the effects of climate change.

Growth, Degrowth, and the Future of the West

Icarus Economics

How apprenticeship shaped the English economy Apprenticeship dominated training and skill formation in early modern Europe. Years spent learning from a skilled master were a nearly universal experience for young workers in crafts and trade. In England, when apprenticeship reached its peak, as many as a third of all teenage males would serve and learn as apprentices. In The Market for Skill, Patrick Wallis shows how apprenticeship helped reshape the English economy. Some historians see apprenticeship as a key ingredient in the industrial revolution; others agree with Adam Smith in seeing it as wasteful and conservative. Wallis shows that neither of these perspectives is entirely accurate. He offers a new account of apprenticeship and the market for skill in England, analyzing the records of hundreds of thousands of individual apprentices to tell the story of how apprenticeship worked and how it contributed to the transformation of England. Wallis details the activities of apprentices and masters, the strategies of ambitious parents, the interventions of guilds and the decisions of town officials. He shows how the system of early modern apprenticeship contributed to the growth of cities, the movement of workers from farms to manufacturing and the spread of new technologies and productive knowledge. In this groundbreaking study, Wallis argues that apprenticeship succeeded precisely because it was a flexible institution which allowed apprentices to change their minds and exit contracts early. Apprenticeship provided a vital channel for training that families could trust and that was accessible to most young people, whatever their background.

Apprenticeship and Economic Growth in Early Modern England

The Market for Skill

Tech, War and the Fight for Humanity

Thundercloud

Argentine Freedom
 is the first account of the most disruptive figure in Argentine history since the nation’s return to democracy. In just a few years, Javier Milei rose from television economist and social media provocateur to president of a country long defined by crisis, state intervention, and political polarization. His ascent has sparked fierce debate at home and abroad: Is Milei a threat to democracy, a neo-conservative, or the herald of a much larger revival of the classical liberal tradition?
 
 The book provides a balanced examination of Milei’s rise to power. Rather than judging his policies, economic historian Sebastián Álvarez and political philosopher Ezequiel Spector ask a deeper set of questions: Where do Milei’s ideas come from? How do they relate to Argentina’s liberal tradition and its history of populism, socialism, and authoritarianism? And what does his presidency reveal about the tensions between liberty, equality, and democracy in the twenty-first century?&nbsp;
 
 Blending economic history, political philosophy, and contemporary analysis,&nbsp;
 Argentine Freedom
 traces Argentina’s long ideological arc from the liberal foundations of the 1853 Constitution, through Peronism, military rule, neoliberal reform, and the interventionist turn after the 2001 collapse, to the two liberal “waves” that culminated in Milei’s election. Along the way, it unpacks the meanings of liberalism and libertarianism, contrasts them with their main rivals, and situates Milei within both national history and a broader global surge of anti-establishment leaders.
 
 The resulting book offers a new way to understand Javier Milei as a political actor—and Argentina as a country once again at a crossroads.
 Sebastián Álvarez
 is Professor at Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez in Chile and Associate Researcher at the Graduate Institute in Geneva, Switzerland. His work explores the history of finance and banking in Latin America, with particular attention to how capital markets shape economic policy and international relations. He is the author of 
 Mexican Banks and Foreign Finance
 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2019).
 Ezequiel Spector
 is Research Professor and Director of the Master of Arts program in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics at Adolfo Ibáñez University in Chile. He is the author of 
 Freedom as Social Cooperation
 &nbsp;(Palgrave Macmillan, 2026).

Argentine Freedom
 is the first account of the most disruptive figure in Argentine history since the nation’s return to democracy. In just a few years, Javier Milei rose from television economist and social media provocateur to president of a country long defined by crisis, state intervention, and political polarization. His ascent has sparked fierce debate at home and abroad: Is Milei a threat to democracy, a neo-conservative, or the herald of a much larger revival of the classical liberal tradition?
 
 The book provides a balanced examination of Milei’s rise to power. Rather than judging his policies, economic historian Sebastián Álvarez and political philosopher Ezequiel Spector ask a deeper set of questions: Where do Milei’s ideas come from? How do they relate to Argentina’s liberal tradition and its history of populism, socialism, and authoritarianism? And what does his presidency reveal about the tensions between liberty, equality, and democracy in the twenty-first century?&nbsp;
 
 Blending economic history, political philosophy, and contemporary analysis,&nbsp;
 Argentine Freedom
 traces Argentina’s long ideological arc from the liberal foundations of the 1853 Constitution, through Peronism, military rule, neoliberal reform, and the interventionist turn after the 2001 collapse, to the two liberal “waves” that culminated in Milei’s election. Along the way, it unpacks the meanings of liberalism and libertarianism, contrasts them with their main rivals, and situates Milei within both national history and a broader global surge of anti-establishment leaders.
 
 The resulting book offers a new way to understand Javier Milei as a political actor—and Argentina as a country once again at a crossroads.

Javier Milei and the Libertarian Wave

Argentine Freedom

For fans of Doughnut Economics, The Trading Game and The Big Short, How to Tame Your Vampire Squid is an insightful and irreverent account of how our economic system got here, why it isn't working as it should - and how we could tame it. Meet the vampire squid: a powerful, ingenious creature with one unfortunate habit - it never knows when it has enough. For the past forty years, one idea has come to dominate the way we do business: maximize profit. The result is a system - our insatiable squid - programmed to keep extracting, expanding and chasing ever greater returns, even when the consequences work against the people it was meant to serve. But what if capitalism itself isn't the problem? What if the problem is what we've trained it to do? Drawing on a lifetime in business - from witnessing the transformation of Cadbury in the 1990s to building the much-loved food brand COOK and navigating the chaos of the 2008 financial crisis - James Perry tells the story of modern capitalism from the inside, combining colourful characters and eye-opening encounters to reveal how the pursuit of short-term financial gains came to dominate the way we do business. Along the way, he makes sense of the forces shaping our everyday lives, such as banking, private equity, inequality and the changing role of business. And he introduces us to the people already proving there is another way to do things. This isn't an argument for tearing capitalism down. Enterprise remains one of humanity's most powerful tools. The vampire squid is simply doing what we've taught it to do - which means we can teach it something different.

Why Capitalism Has Gone Rogue – and What To Do About It

How to Tame Your Vampire Squid

The Age of Commerce

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