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Yoe C: The Art of Making Decisions Under
Uncertainty

The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

PART ONE Introduction to Decision Making Under Uncertainty. 1 Why Decisions Under Uncertainty Matter. 2 Decisions: How They Are Made and Why They Fail. 3 Uncertainty: What It Is and Why It Matters. 4 Risk: The Link Between Uncertainty and Decisions. 5 Uncertain Outcomes. PART TWO Psychological and Cultural Aspects of Uncertainty. 6 The Psychology of Decisions: Fast vs. Slow Thinking. 7 Heuristics and Biases: Why They Fail Under Uncertainty. 8 Innumeracy: Why It Limits Understanding of Uncertainty. 9 Building a Culture That Embraces Uncertainty. 10 Uncertain Aspects of Decision Making. 11 The Illusion of Precision. 12 Ignoring Uncertainty. PART THREE Analytical Tools and Techniques. 13 Managing Information and Uncertainty. 14 How Risk Preferences Drive Decisions. 15 Risk Analysis. 16 Think More Probabilistically. 17 Characterizing Uncertainty: The Key to Risk-Informed Decision Making. 18 Tools for Quantitative Characterizations of Uncertainty. 19 Expert Elicitation: Managing Irreducible Uncertainty. 20 Sensitivity Analysis. 21 The Monte Carlo Process and Scenario Planning. 22 Leveraging Big Data, Analytics, and AI to Combat Uncertainty. PART FOUR Strategies and Tactics for Effective Decision Making. 23 Strategies and Tactics for Addressing Uncertainty. 24 Socialize Asking for Evidence. 25 Change the Decision-Making Meeting. 26 Knowing When to Decide. 27 Power-Down Decision Making. 28 Turning Failure into Insight. PART FIVE Special Topics. 29 Uncertainty in Real-Time Decision Making. 30 False Information. Index

Industrial and Environmental Microbiology

Designing for Kids helps design students and professionals dive deeply into building a child-centered design practice, providing them with the knowledge, skills and tools to create products with a positive impact on child development, learning, play, and well-being.This fully updated second edition incorporates current and emerging childhood research and analysis that impacts the design process. It includes topics such as digital technology and AI, mental health, identity, climate change, sustainability, and children with disabilities. It supports college classes, company onboarding, and professional settings where young people are the end users of products and designed experiences. In addition to insights from professional designers, this edition also includes interviews with child psychologists, and diverse case studies from North America, South America, Africa, Asia, Europe, Australia and New Zealand from various industries and contexts. From these, readers will learn updated design approaches and how incorporate them into their work to create products and services for a global market. This textbook offer readers more than 150 color images, helpful discussion questions, practical frameworks, skill-building assignments, and debate questions that have been tested in conference workshops, colleges, nonprofits, and corporations.It is written for product designers who want to build more play value into toys, furniture, or schools; architects designing regenerative playgrounds, museum exhibits or children's hospitals; and technologists seeking ethical and educational approaches to interactive games and learning systems. Readers will build a strong foundation in designing for and with children, learning how to create developmentally appropriate and culturally relevant designs. This book will provide the skills and foundational understanding of how to design impactful products, services, and experiences that spark joy and support young people to thrive.

Creating for Playing, Learning and Growing

Designing for Kids

The Book of Yields: Accuracy in Food Costing and Purchasing is a valuable resource for educating culinary and hospitality students &amp; professionals, that running a business is not just about making the food taste great, but ensuring that food waste, portioning, calculations &amp; costing are equally as important. It is the foodservice manager's most powerful tool for controlling costs. This updated and revised Ninth Edition consists of procurement quantities and specifications, menu cost analysis, portioning guidelines, Valuable costing and recipe templates and product yield testing. The Ninth edition includes: <ul> <li>Expanded ethnic foods, gluten-free options, and specialty ingredients</li> <li>Detailed conversion tables and product yield metrics</li> <li>Visual aids for math equations and digital sheets for easy reference</li> </ul> The Book of Yields, Ninth Edition is your ultimate resource for ensuring efficiency and profitability in the food and hospitality industry.

The Book of Yields

Advances in Potato Chemistry and Technology, Third Edition is a comprehensive guide that explores the identification, analysis, and application of chemical components in potatoes for both food and non-food uses. This edition thoroughly revises and updates previous content, offering foundational science on potato components, structure, and functional components. The book further delves into the variety of potatoes, their storage conditions, and optimal processing methods. Editors Singh and Kaur have collaborated with global experts to provide insights into emerging areas, including genetic modification, health benefits, food security contributions, and waste utilization. Ideal for academic and industry food scientists, food chemists, and nutritionists, this book is also valuable for those involved in food security and advanced-level food science students. It includes information on the burgeoning field of genetic modification, the role of potatoes in human health, and their impact on food security. Additionally, the book addresses the reduction and utilization of potato waste, making it a vital resource for anyone interested in the multifaceted applications of potatoes.

Advances in Potato Chemistry and Technology

The Complete Step-by-Step Guide to Agile Project Management with Kanban

Kanban

An Enterprise-wide Approach to Resilience

Risk Management for Third Parties and Supply Chains

Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice

Why workplace wellness isn’t working, and what to do about it

The Wellbeing Paradox

Public Budgeting and Financial Management provides an accessible, applied introduction and overview of public budgeting for students who may not have previous experience with economics or statistics. This new textbook contains several outstanding features:<ul> <li>A focus on all levels of government - federal, state, and local</li> <li>An approach that assumes no previous knowledge of economics, statistics, or mathematics</li> <li>Applied exercises in each chapter using current, real-world scenarios</li> <li>A conversational, engaging, jargon-free writing style.</li> </ul>Authors Nancy Hudspeth and Andrew Crosby examine important case studies, including the lingering financial effects of COVID-19 on communities across the United States and the ways in which Detroit's bankruptcy more than a decade ago continues to impact local, regional, and state finances. The book is accompanied by online instructor and student resources, including sample municipal budgets for students and quizzes with an answer key for instructors. More advanced readers will benefit from the authors' thorough introduction to financial functions. This comprehensive and innovative new textbook will be required reading for all undergraduate and graduate courses in public budgeting and financial management, and it offers a unique one-stop-shop for traditional one-semester MPA budgeting courses.Support material for this book can be found at www.routledge.com/9781032670577

Getting on Track

Public Budgeting and Financial Management

A History of Medicine in Twelve Objects is an entertaining and insightful guide through the instruments that have come to shape modern medicine as we know it.

The History of Medicine in Twelve Objects

Exploring Health Benefits of Phenolic Compounds in Food By-Products and Functional Foods investigates the diverse sources of bioactive compounds found in various foods and their physiological effects on the human body. This comprehensive volume emphasizes the chemical structures that maximize nutritional benefits, offering insights into how different phenolic compounds can improve health and manage diseases. From fruits and vegetables to marine sources and microbial fermentation, this book highlights new developments in phenolic compounds and functional food research. The book also delves into the functional attributes of ingredients like mushrooms and pomegranates, exploring the potential of flavonoids and antibacterial agents in certain fruits and vegetables to promote healing and overall health. Chapter authors discuss the role of bioactive compounds in areas such as weight management, gut health, sports nutrition, cardiovascular health, and more.

Exploring Health Benefits of Phenolic Compounds in Food By-Products and Functional Foods

Microsoft 365 Project for Dummies

The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

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