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Guerard J: Financial Forecasting

Financial Forecasting

Businesses are increasingly leveraging big data in financial analysis to improve decision-making, risk management, and market competitiveness, and professionals who know how to apply this data are in high demand. Designed for graduate programs and advanced undergraduate studies, this text synthesizes traditional statistics and econometrics with contemporary artificial intelligence and machine learning methods, preparing readers for the realities of modern-day financial data analysis. It studies known unknowns versus unknown unknowns and provides a systematic and objective characterization of statistical versus actual significance. Applying advanced theoretical and empirical methods to massive high-frequency databases, the book explores market microstructure, risk, market efficiency, equities, fixed income securities, and options. Grounded in over three decades of research, consulting, management, and teaching experience, it serves as a comprehensive and practical resource for students, practitioners, and scholars in capital markets, advanced analytics, and litigation.

Theory and Empirics Using Big Data

Advanced Analytics for Finance

Grounded in the latest research and practical experience in client organizations, this book provides a coherent theory of the leadership of groups. The authors show how this knowledge can be used to inspire and motivate groups to deliver positive spirals of performance at the individual, group and organisational levels.

Grounded in the latest research and practical experience in client organizations, this book provides a coherent theory of the leadership of groups. The authors show how this knowledge can be used to inspire and motivate groups to deliver positive spirals of performance at the individual, group and organisational levels.

Group Leadership

Why fear of risk is holding us back, and how we can reclaim the confidence to thrive in unpredictable timesSomething is out of sync in today's economy. People feel insecure and unable to reach their potential. We worry that the world has become too risky, that investing is only for the rich, that our nest egg might not last, that it's all or nothing. We retreat into lives of minimal uncertainty. Economist Allison Schrager argues that there has never been a better time to take risks, and yet we as a society have never been more risk-averse. She explains how the fears surrounding risk are unfounded-and that these myths are exactly why so many are falling behind. In the meantime, the very wealthy are still taking risks that generate outsized rewards and widen economic divides.Blending economic history and behavioral science, Schrager traces how our understanding and tolerance of risk have changed-how we have become less willing to open a business, start a family, or even drive a car. Along the way, she reveals the secrets of unconventional risk-takers, from a mob hit man to America's last frontiersman to a high-wire walker.In this reassuring book, Schrager explains how to assess uncertainty, make better choices, and reclaim the upside of risk, allowing each of us to contribute to a more dynamic economy-and to live a more fulfilling life.

The Seven Myths That Keep Us from Taking the Chances We Need to Take

Worth the Risk

New Frontiers in Regional Science: Asian Perspectives

This book integrates diversified disciplines, research approaches, and methodologies of area studies, regional economic development, and regional science. With its huge population, China has accomplished rapid economic growth since the 1990s, although the significant income gap among regions and individuals has become a serious problem for its society. China's accession to the WTO in 2001 has had various influences on the entire food system, from agriculture to consumers, through the food manufacturing and distribution industries. The changes in the Chinese food system are considered to have also affected the agriculture and food industries in Asian countries where economic interdependence has been promoted in past decades. The author argues these issues based on interdisciplinary and multi-disciplinary methods and approaches and has successfully derived empirical and theoretical results that are rich in policy implications. The topics addressed include food security and sustainability of agriculture especially in the suburbs of big cities; poverty reduction in rural agricultural areas amidst prosperity in urban and coastal areas; regional networks and international trade of the food industry in East Asia; creation of innovative knowledge and human capital for clustering of the agro-food sector; regional development strategy; and international cooperation. The book is interesting for researchers in the field, especially for those who are concerned with the food system that has been changed dynamically in the past two decades, and it is informative, as well, for practitioners who are engaged in related business.

Clarifies the dynamism of China’s agro-food system centering on the issue of food security Integrates and advances diversified existing principles, disciplines, research approaches, and methodologies Provides materials, methods, ideas, and theories for understanding the changes in China’s agro-food sector

Global Trends and Dynamism of China's Agro-Food System

From the author of A People's Guide to Capitalism, a clear-eyed look at cryptocurrencies from the left, cutting through the glitz and the scams to reveal how crypto mirrors and exacerbates the crises of capitalism. 
 
Cryptocurrencies have gone from being fringe investments relevant only to hardcore adherents to a $3.7 trillion industry with a direct line to Donald Trump's White House. The promises of crypto are wide-ranging, preying on a basic reality: people are disaffected by an economic and financial system that has excluded them and wonder if cryptocurrencies can offer a more transparent and inclusive alternative. 
 
Challenge any of these notions, or raise concerns about crypto's associations with money laundering, the speculative bubbles ballooning around these assets, or the disastrous climate implications of the technology behind crypto, and you'll be told by proselytizers that you simply don't understand. That complexity is often intentional, serving as a shield from critical scrutiny. 
 
Enter Crypto-Capitalism, Hadas Thier's deft, accessible examination of the rise and fall and rise again of crypto. Drawing on years of reporting on the industry, its insiders, and the ordinary people impacted by its wild peaks and busts, Thier explains how cryptocurrencies work, elucidates the context and implications of their rise, and debunks the utopian mythology that animates their boosters. 
 
By showing that systemic exploitation and domination are inherent in a crisis-ridden capitalist economy and are matters of class power, not technology, Thier convincingly cuts through the froth and the lies of financial dystopia. Along the way, she opens up alternative avenues for imagining what economic democracy could actually look like.

The New Financial Dystopia

Crypto-Capitalism

ONE OF THE NEW YORK TIMES AND THE ATLANTIC’S TEN BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR • ONE OF BARACK OBAMA’S FAVORITE BOOKS OF THE YEAR • Through the “revelatory and gut-wrenching” (Associated Press) stories of five Atlanta families, this landmark work of journalism exposes a new and troubling trend—the dramatic rise of the working homeless in cities across America. “An exceptional feat of reporting, full of an immediacy that calls to mind Adrian Nicole LeBlanc’s Random Family and Matthew Desmond’s Evicted.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors’ Choice) FINALIST FOR THE ANDREW CARNEGIE MEDAL, THE LOS ANGELES TIMES BOOK PRIZE, AND THE BERNSTEIN AWARD • A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR: NPR, The Washington Post, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Elle, New America, BookPage, Shelf Awareness The working homeless. In a country where hard work and determination are supposed to lead to success, there is something scandalous about this phrase. But skyrocketing rents, low wages, and a lack of tenant rights have produced a startling phenomenon: People with full-time jobs cannot keep a roof over their head, especially in America’s booming cities, where rapid growth is leading to catastrophic displacement. These families are being forced into homelessness not by a failing economy but a thriving one. In this gripping and deeply reported book, Brian Goldstone plunges readers into the lives of five Atlanta families struggling to remain housed in a gentrifying, increasingly unequal city. Maurice and Natalia make a fresh start in the country’s “Black Mecca” after being priced out of DC. Kara dreams of starting her own cleaning business while mopping floors at a public hospital. Britt scores a coveted housing voucher. Michelle is in school to become a social worker. Celeste toils at her warehouse job while undergoing treatment for ovarian cancer. Each of them aspires to provide a decent life for their children—and each of them, one by one, joins the ranks of the nation’s working homeless. Through intimate, novelistic portraits, Goldstone reveals the human cost of this crisis, following parents and their kids as they go to sleep in cars, or in squalid extended-stay hotel rooms, and head out to their jobs and schools the next morning. These are the nation’s hidden homeless—omitted from official statistics, and proof that overflowing shelters and street encampments are only the most visible manifestation of a far more pervasive problem. By turns heartbreaking and urgent, There Is No Place for Us illuminates the true magnitude, causes, and consequences of the new American homelessness—and shows that it won’t be solved until housing is treated as a fundamental human right.

ONE OF THE NEW YORK TIMES AND THE ATLANTIC’S TEN BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR • ONE OF BARACK OBAMA’S FAVORITE BOOKS OF THE YEAR • Through the “revelatory and gut-wrenching” (Associated Press) stories of five Atlanta families, this landmark work of journalism exposes a new and troubling trend—the dramatic rise of the working homeless in cities across America. “An exceptional feat of reporting, full of an immediacy that calls to mind Adrian Nicole LeBlanc’s Random Family and Matthew Desmond’s Evicted.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors’ Choice) FINALIST FOR THE ANDREW CARNEGIE MEDAL • A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR: NPR, The Washington Post, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Elle, New America, BookPage, Shelf Awareness The working homeless. In a country where hard work and determination are supposed to lead to success, there is something scandalous about this phrase. But skyrocketing rents, low wages, and a lack of tenant rights have produced a startling phenomenon: People with full-time jobs cannot keep a roof over their head, especially in America’s booming cities, where rapid growth is leading to catastrophic displacement. These families are being forced into homelessness not by a failing economy but a thriving one. In this gripping and deeply reported book, Brian Goldstone plunges readers into the lives of five Atlanta families struggling to remain housed in a gentrifying, increasingly unequal city. Maurice and Natalia make a fresh start in the country’s “Black Mecca” after being priced out of DC. Kara dreams of starting her own cleaning business while mopping floors at a public hospital. Britt scores a coveted housing voucher. Michelle is in school to become a social worker. Celeste toils at her warehouse job while undergoing treatment for ovarian cancer. Each of them aspires to provide a decent life for their children—and each of them, one by one, joins the ranks of the nation’s working homeless. Through intimate, novelistic portraits, Goldstone reveals the human cost of this crisis, following parents and their kids as they go to sleep in cars, or in squalid extended-stay hotel rooms, and head out to their jobs and schools the next morning. These are the nation’s hidden homeless—omitted from official statistics, and proof that overflowing shelters and street encampments are only the most visible manifestation of a far more pervasive problem. By turns heartbreaking and urgent, There Is No Place for Us illuminates the true magnitude, causes, and consequences of the new American homelessness—and shows that it won’t be solved until housing is treated as a fundamental human right.

Working and Homeless in America

There Is No Place for Us

An eye-opening account of how the data-center boom is pushing our planet past its breaking point Underlying our seamless access to AI, cryptocurrency, and unlimited cloud storage is a hulking, costly physical infrastructure. Massive data centers full of energy-hungry chips and processors power everything we do online. Scrambling to meet dubious market demand, the tech giants have made our planet a bargaining chip in the next great race for a market monopoly. In Hyperscale, journalist Paris Marx uncovers the excesses of hyperscale data processing. He exposes the deceptive, exploitative ways tech companies are syphoning energy and resources from vulnerable communities in their pursuit of digital power, abandoning the pretense of social responsibility. Amid energy shortages and tech-induced battles over drinking water, Marx makes a powerful case for technology that promotes the social good over the bottom lines of tech billionaires. He joins the incredible efforts of people and social movements pushing back against the profit-driven interests of Big Tech, illuminating a path toward the sustainable future we all deserve. The AI boom and its infrastructural demands have accelerated our many modern catastrophes. With razor-sharp reporting and incisive analysis, Marx shows us that the greatest threat is not the specter of AI overlords but a global environmental disaster already in the making.

An eye-opening account of how the data-center boom is pushing our planet past its breaking point Underlying our seamless access to AI, cryptocurrency, and unlimited cloud storage is a hulking, costly physical infrastructure. Massive data centers full of energy-hungry chips and processors power everything we do online. Scrambling to meet dubious market demand, the tech giants have made our planet a bargaining chip in the next great race for a market monopoly.&nbsp; In Hyperscale,&nbsp;journalist Paris Marx uncovers the excesses of hyperscale data processing. He exposes the deceptive, exploitative ways tech companies are syphoning energy and resources from vulnerable communities in their pursuit of digital power, abandoning the pretense of social responsibility. Amid energy blackouts and tech-induced battles over drinking water, Marx makes a powerful case for technology that promotes the social good over the bottom lines of tech billionaires. He joins the incredible efforts of people and social movements pushing back against the profit-driven interests of big tech, illuminating a path toward the sustainable future we all deserve. The AI boom and its demands for digital infrastructure have accelerated our many modern catastrophes. With razor-sharp reporting and incisive analysis, Marx shows us the greatest threat is not the specter of AI overlords, but a global environmental disaster already in the making.

The Ambition and Excess of Big Tech's Data Empires

Hyperscale

What if everything we understood about gun violence was wrong? In 2007, economist Jens Ludwig moved to the South Side of Chicago to research two big questions: Why does gun violence happen, and is there anything we can do about it? Almost two decades later, the answers aren't what he expected. Unforgiving Places is Ludwig's revelatory portrait of gun violence in America's most famously maligned city. Disproving the popular narrative that shootings are the calculated acts of malicious or desperate people, Ludwig shows how most shootings actually grow out of a more fleeting source: interpersonal conflict, especially arguments. By examining why some arguments turn tragic while others don't, Ludwig shows gun violence to be more circumstantial--and more solvable--than our traditional approaches lead us to believe. Drawing on decades of research and Ludwig's immersive fieldwork in Chicago, including "countless hours spent in schools, parks, playgrounds, housing developments, courtrooms, jails, police stations, police cars, and lots and lots of McDonald'ses," Unforgiving Places is a breakthrough work at the cutting edge of behavioral economics. As Ludwig shows, progress on gun violence doesn't require America to solve every other social problem first; it only requires that we find ways to intervene in the places and the ten-minute windows where human behaviors predictably go haywire.

The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence

Unforgiving Places

In diesem Buch werden erstmals die Leitbilder der Sozialwirtschaft sowie die Modelle und Finanzierungsformen des Sozialmanagements zusammengeführt. Es erfolgt eine umfassende Vorstellung der Leistungen und Aufgaben des Sozialwirtschaftssektors. Der erste Teil befasst sich mit der theoretischen Konzeption und den Modellorientierungen der Sozialwirtschaft, ihrer Organisationstypen und der Change-Management-Prozesse. Der zweite Teil setzt sich mit der Logik der Refinanzierung der Sozialwirtschaftsorganisationen auseinander - der öffentlichen Finanzierung durch Sozialleistungen, der Eigenmittelerwirtschaftung, der Fremdmittelakquise und der solidarischen Ökonomie bzw. Gemeinwesenökonomie.

Systematischer Überblick zu den Anforderungen in der Sozialwirtschaft

Grundlagen - Modelle - Finanzierung

Sozialwirtschaft

This Second Edition of Performance Attribution and Evaluation Volume Two: Analysis and Reporting explains the practical aspects of building or interpreting a top-to-bottom performance attribution system applicable to many asset classes, providing a toolkit of attribution techniques for analyzing the performance of portfolio managers. Requiring a familiarity with the principal concepts of portfolio analysis, it features standard methodologies and alternative approaches to the attribution of diverse assets, including derivatives, fixed income, and hedge funds. Based on the authors’ Performance Evaluation and Attribution of Security Portfolios (2012), this volume‘s concentration on the ethical standards embodied by GIPS includes a summary of provisions for the presentation of risk in a firm’s investments.

Analysis and Reporting

Performance Attribution and Attribution Volume Two

Financial Forecasting

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