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Khilinski A: AXIOM

AXIOM

A Framework for Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Most lives are not shaped by dramatic moments or public milestones. They take form through the small decisions we make steadily over time.

The decision to stay or to leave.
To begin again.
To hold steady.
To let go.

These choices rarely arrive under ideal conditions. They happen in the middle of responsibility, uncertainty, pressure, and fatigue. Yet over time they accumulate, quietly forming the architecture of a life.

Boundless explores the quiet courage required to continue shaping a life under those conditions. At the heart of the book are three truths about how a life unfolds.

Boundless does not refer to limitless achievement. It speaks to the inner capacity of a person to grow, adapt, and realign even when circumstances feel constrained.
Every Day reminds us that the most important decisions are rarely extraordinary. They occur in ordinary conversations, small choices, and the quiet discipline of continuing.
In Spite Of acknowledges reality. Life rarely offers perfect timing, complete clarity, or ideal conditions. Yet people continue to shape their lives anyway.

Through reflections on leadership, relationships, work, money, health, and personal integrity, Boundless invites readers to notice these moments more clearly and to recognize that the arc of a life is built not by grand gestures, but by the steady choices we make along the way.

For readers interested in personal growth, leadership, and the quiet discipline of decision-making.

Boundless. Every Day. In Spite Of

Bear's World

This companion title to Natalia Shaloshvili’s award-winning book Bear is a funny and comforting take on how to cope with constant worrying. With a little help from his friend Duck, Bear finds that even when his biggest (cookie-related!) worries do come true, it’s not the end of the world. &nbsp; At first, Bear is happily munching his cookie, until a thought creeps in: what if it’s the last cookie? When this turns out to be true, he sets off for the shops – and his worries mount and mount. He worries about missing the bus . . . and it leaves without him. He worries he’ll get lost . . . and gets lost. By the time he finds the cookie queue, he’s at the very back;¿and his worst worry comes true. The very last cookie goes . . . to Duck!&nbsp; But just when Bear thinks his worst fears have been realised, Duck gently shows him that worries don’t have to end in disaster. By sharing his cookie and reminding Bear that ‘what ifs’ can lead to happy endings too, Duck helps his friend see that things often turn out better than expected.&nbsp; Complete with Natalia Shaloshvili’s expressive, playful illustrations and a story that balances humour with warmth, Bear Worries captures the familiar experience of children (and adults) whose imaginations run away with them. Both entertaining and reassuring, this picture book is the perfect springboard for conversations about anxiety, resilience and friendship.&nbsp; Whether shared at storytime, used in classrooms or given as a thoughtful gift, Bear Worries is an essential addition to every child’s bookshelf. It offers the reminder that no worry is too big when faced together.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Bear Worries

Interventions: Rethinking the Nineteenth Century

Speculative endeavors describes the connections between speculation and minoritarian subjects and practices during the rise of capitalism in the US. Drawing on diverse historical perspectives, the volume challenges conventional historiographic narratives by spotlighting historic agents traditionally excluded from discussions of knowledge and capitalism. Through a series of meticulously researched essays on pedagogical practices, domestic manners, public court cases, and behind-the-scenes publishing habits, the book delves into the quotidian forms of knowledge on the fringes of nineteenth-century society. Each original contribution sheds light on how seemingly inconsequential narratives are part of the fabric of the period's burgeoning market economy and financial capitalism. Speculative endeavors is a call to reconceptualize our understanding of the past. Through its rigorous analyses of epistemic and economic practices and compelling narratives of marginalized agents, this groundbreaking collection invites readers to reconsider the intersections of power, privilege, and precarity in the turbulent times between the early republic and the Gilded Age.

Cultures of knowledge and capital in the long nineteenth century

Speculative endeavors

When to Take the Long Road in a Shortcut World

ASAP: As SLOW as Possible

From Ann Handley, Wall Street Journal bestselling author of Everybody Writes, comes a smart, timely, clear-eyed guide to knowing when to speed up, when to slow down, and when the shortcut costs more than it saves. You already know how to go fast. What nobody taught you is when not to. In ASAP: As SLOW As Possible, Ann Handley rebels against the false urgency baked into modern work and life—and shows you how to recognize Slowments: the moments when slowing down is not weakness, hesitation, or delay. It's the smarter move. Because when everyone has access to the same shortcuts, the real edge is knowing when not to take them. With research, brain science, vivid storytelling, and Handley’s signature wit, ASAP: As SLOW As Possible reveals the hidden speed traps that weaken our judgment, creativity, and original thinking—especially in an age when AI makes the fastest path feel like the smartest one—and gives you a practical way to know when speed is serving you and when it’s taking you farther from what matters. You'll discover: <ul><li>The Hasty Progress Illusion—why motion can feel like mastery, even when nothing lasting is taking hold</li><li>The ASAP Matrix—how to know exactly when to autopilot, when to pause, and when a moment deserves more of you</li><li>The six Slowments in life and in work—the pivotal moments when slowing down changes what happens next</li><li>How to protect your judgment in a world eager to outsource it</li><li>When choosing analog leads to sharper ideas, wiser decisions, more creative approaches, stronger relationships, and meaningful work</li><li>How to stop confusing speed with progress—and start choosing the pace the moment actually requires</li></ul> ASAP: As SLOW As Possible reveals slowness as a generative force and for the first time gives you a way to harness life’s most important slow moments. Not by doing less, opting out, or becoming the kind of person who ferments things in a shed. But by knowing when speed helps—and when it hollows out the very thing you hoped it would serve. It’s time to choose the long road when the shortcut costs too much.

From Ann Handley, Wall Street Journal bestselling author of Everybody Writes, comes a smart, timely, clear-eyed guide to knowing when to speed up, when to slow down, and when the shortcut costs more than it saves. You already know how to go fast. What nobody taught you is when not to. In ASAP: As SLOW As Possible, Ann Handley rebels against the false urgency baked into modern work and life—and shows you how to recognize Slowments: the moments when slowing down is not weakness, hesitation, or delay. It's the smarter move. Because when everyone has access to the same shortcuts, the real edge is knowing when not to take them. With research, brain science, vivid storytelling, and Handley’s signature wit, ASAP: As SLOW As Possible reveals the hidden speed traps that weaken our judgment, creativity, and original thinking—especially in an age when AI makes the fastest path feel like the smartest one—and gives you a practical way to know when speed is serving you and when it’s taking you farther from what matters. You'll discover: <ul><li>The Hasty Progress Illusion—why motion can feel like mastery, even when nothing lasting is taking hold</li><li>The ASAP Matrix—how to know exactly when to autopilot, when to pause, and when a moment deserves more of you</li><li>The six Slowments in life and in work—the pivotal moments when slowing down changes what happens next</li><li>How to protect your judgment in a world eager to outsource it</li><li>When choosing analog leads to sharper ideas, wiser decisions, more creative approaches, stronger relationships, and meaningful work</li><li>How to stop confusing speed with progress—and start choosing the pace the moment actually requires</li></ul> ASAP: As SLOW As Possible reveals slowness as a generative force and for the first time gives you a way to harness life’s most important slow moments. Not by doing less, opting out, or becoming the kind of person who ferments things in a shed. But by knowing when speed helps—and when it hollows out the very thing you hoped it would serve. It’s time to choose the long road when the shortcut costs too much.

ASAP: As Slow as Possible

Uri Levine, founder of "unicorns" Waze and Moovit, brings you the ultimate guide to starting and running a business – with a bonus chapter on surviving and thriving in a crisis in this paperback edition. Unicorns – companies that reach a valuation of more than $1 billion – are rare. Uri Levine has built two. And in Fall in Love with the Problem, Not the Solution, he shows you just how he did it. As the cofounder of Waze – the world's leading commuting and navigation app with more than 700 million users to date, and which Google acquired in 2013 for $1.15 billion – Levine is committed to spreading entrepreneurial thinking so that other founders, leaders and employees in the tech space can build their own highly valued companies. Levine offers an inside look at the creation and sale of Waze and his second unicorn, Moovit, revealing the formula that drove those companies to compete with industry veterans and giants alike. He offers tips on: <ul><li>Validating your idea</li><li>Raising funding</li><li>Leadership</li><li>Hiring and firing</li><li>Understanding your users</li><li>Making up-scale decisions</li><li>Going global</li><li>Deciding when to sell</li></ul> With an all-new chapter on not only surviving but thriving in times of major external crisis, Fall in Love with the Problem, Not the Solution offers mentorship in a book from one of the world's most successful entrepreneurs, and empowers you to build a successful business by identifying your consumers' biggest problems and disrupting the inefficient markets that currently serve them.

Uri Levine, founder of "unicorns" Waze and Moovit, brings you the ultimate guide to starting and running a business – with a bonus chapter on surviving and thriving in a crisis in this paperback edition.

A handbook for entrepreneurs

Fall in Love with the Problem, Not the Solution

Leadership Series

How Great Leaders Strengthen Judgment, Presence, and Credibility Before Responsibility Expands

READY BEFORE THE ROLE

Classroom Companion: Economics

This textbook offers a distinctive and accessible approach to the economics of uncertainty by placing risk-sharing at the core of the analysis. Rather than relying on the standard principal-agent or mechanism-design framework, it develops a unified perspective that interprets insurance, incentives, and financial arrangements as variations on the possibilities and limits of sharing risk under information frictions.A key strength of the book is its focus on environments in which all agents are exposed to risk. By moving beyond the common assumption of a risk-neutral principal with deep pockets, it provides a more realistic and broadly applicable framework for analysing moral hazard, adverse selection, signalling, and banking models. This perspective enables readers to understand asymmetric information not merely as a contracting problem, but as a constraint on socially valuable risk-sharing arrangements.The exposition combines rigour with accessibility. Formal models are presented with propositions, proofs, and exercises, while requiring only intermediate microeconomics, basic calculus, and elementary probability. This makes the book ideally suited for advanced undergraduate and master’s courses, as well as for readers seeking a clear and coherent introduction to modern information economics.

Static Models of Risk-Sharing

Economics of Uncertainty

Pelican Books

'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

The Art of Uncertainty

Act on 8 percent understanding and build unstoppable momentum from scratch In Unready: The Suprising Advantage of Acting Before You Feel Ready, Soulaima Gourani, a serial tech entrepreneur, Fortune 500 advisor, World Economic Forum Young Global Leader, and venture partner in the space and defense industry, shares the unconventional operating principle behind her rise from seventh-grade dropout to Silicon Valley founder who raised millions in VC funding and won Best AI Product of 2024. Drawing on her own journey and six years of her weekly podcast interviews with global leaders, entrepreneurs, investors, and changemakers, Gourani introduces the 8% Rule: if you understand eight percent of a situation, that is enough to act. Rather than waiting for perfect information, she demonstrates how action creates momentum and how courage outperforms credentials. The book provides a framework for operating boldly when you feel underqualified, underfunded, or underestimated by those around you. Readers will also discover: <ul> <li>How to convert incomplete knowledge into decisive action using the 8% Rule as your operating framework</li> <li>Strategies for building momentum and winning against the odds when resources and credentials are limited</li> <li>Real-world lessons from Gourani's journey raising millions in VC funding and building an award-winning AI company</li> <li>Techniques for overcoming the paralysis of waiting for perfect information before committing to bold moves</li> <li>Practical guidance on prioritizing courage over credentials and choosing action over analysis in high-stakes situations</li> </ul> Unready belongs on the shelf of entrepreneurs, founders, aspiring leaders, and anyone who has ever felt underqualified or underestimated. Gourani's hard-won framework turns uncertainty into a launchpad for decisive, momentum-building action that defies conventional expectations.

The Surprising Advantage of Acting Before You Feel Ready

Unready

Every day, leaders make thousands of decisions that shape their organizations - yet most have no repeatable system for making those decisions well. Decision Sciences: Making Better Decisions changes that. Written for healthcare executives and applicable across every industry, this book delivers a complete, practical operating system for organizational decision-making. 

The five-phase Decision Sciences Framework guides leaders from clearly framing a problem through disciplined assessment and accountable governance to execution and institutional learning. Grounded in the best of behavioral economics, cognitive psychology, and organizational theory, from Kahneman and Tetlock to Edmondson, and brought to life through the compelling story of physician-executive Jim Johnson and data scientist Susan Myles, this is not another collection of tips or thought experiments. 

It is a structured methodology with tangible artifacts, governance tools, and built-in accountability, designed for leaders who want to ensure good analysis isn't lost in bad decisions. If you have ever left a high-stakes meeting wondering how the decision was actually made, Decision Sciences is the book you've been looking for.

Decision Sciences

The go-to text for understanding both the historical development and contemporary contours of foreign policy analysis.

This comprehensive introduction to Foreign Policy Analysis (FPA) is geared toward advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students. Cogently written, clearly organized, and filled with illuminating examples, the fourth edition has been thoroughly revised and updated. Beginning with an overview of this broad field of study, Hudson and Day consider theory and research at multiple levels of analysis, including personality and psychology of foreign policy decision makers, small group dynamics, the organizational process, bureaucratic politics, domestic politics, cultural and societal influences, national attributes, and system-level effects on foreign policy. The authors also examine the promise and frustration of theoretical integration in FPA and overview promising new work by non-North American scholars.

Classic and Contemporary Theory

Foreign Policy Analysis

AXIOM

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